FOREX-Brexit deal helps keep euro close to 7-week high

Published 18/10/2019, 09:12
© Reuters.  FOREX-Brexit deal helps keep euro close to 7-week high
DXY
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* Dollar steady against major currencies

* Norwegian krone close to breaking all-time low

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The euro was hovering on Friday

around the seven-week high it reached against the U.S. dollar on

Thursday as hopes that a Brexit deal between Britain and the

European Union could prevent an economic recession in the euro

zone.

The common currency has been rattled this year by dismal

manufacturing data, as well as by worries that deepening

economic tensions between the United States and China could make

euro zone economies grow even slower.

But with Britain's prime minister Boris Johnson and EU

leaders agreeing a new deal for Britain to exit the bloc, and

with U.S.-China tensions easing, the euro was enjoying a sigh of

relief.

"Without Brexit, the euro might be now liberated from this

burden," said Antje Praefcke, a forex analyst at Commerzbank.

Moreover, expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut

interest rates at the Oct. 30 meeting added further optimism,

given that this would shrink yield differentials between the

United States and euro area.

"The fed looks more willing to cut" in the immediate term,

said Praefcke.

The euro was last trading flat at $1.1122 EUR=EBS , not far

from $1.1140, its highest since Aug. 26.

The index which tracks the dollar against six major

currencies was also last flat at $97.581 .DXY .

The pound was slightly weaker, down 0.2% at $1.2865, but

still very close to the five-month high of $1.2988 it reached on

Thursday after the U.K. and the EU agreed to a Brexit deal.

Traders worry that an initial relief at securing the

long-awaited Brexit deal could be brief, however, because the

prime minister still needs to sell the agreement to sceptical

lawmakers when parliament sits on Saturday. The yuan held steady against the dollar after data showed

China's economy grew at the weakest pace in more than 27 years

in the third quarter due to a costly trade war with the United

States and weak factory production.

In the offshore market, the yuan was last neutral at 7.0828

against the dollar. CNH=EBS

Elsewhere, the Norwegian krone was very close to breaking

the all-time low of 10.2215 it plunged to against the euro on

Thursday, last trading flat at 10.2105. EURNOK=D3

Analysts were scratching their heads why the krone was so

weak, saying one possible explanation could be the weak demand

for Norwegian equities.

"Historically the NOK has often traded weak towards the end

of the year, but our FX analysts are struggling to find the

flows that explain this seasonal weakness," said SEB analysts in

a note to clients.

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