FOREX-Dollar dips as coronavirus damage spurs interest rate cut bets

Published 02/03/2020, 21:55
Updated 02/03/2020, 22:00
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar dips as coronavirus damage spurs interest rate cut bets

* Investors bet on Fed rate cut at March 17-18 meeting or

earlier

* U.S. manufacturing activity weakens in February

* Sterling under pressure as Brexit talks begin

(Updates to U.S. afternoon)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK, March 2 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar slipped to a

six-week low against a basket of currencies on Monday, as

investors bet on the U.S. Federal Reserve easing policy in a bid

to counter the negative impact from the spread of the new

coronavirus.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength

against a basket of six other major currencies, was 0.53% lower

at 97.448. Earlier it slipped to a low of 97.176, its lowest

since Jan. 16.

Global risk assets, including equities, were hammered hard

last week as investors worried about the economic impact of the

global spread of the virus.

The panic in global markets prompted U.S. Federal Reserve

Chairman Jerome Powell to issue a statement on Friday saying the

Fed would "act as appropriate" to support the economy.

Investors took his comments as a hint that the Fed will

deliver a cut when it meets March 17-18, and as an encouragement

to central banks around the world to follow suit. Futures

0#FF: now imply a 50 basis point cut at the meeting.

"The negative for the dollar is that the Fed has more leeway

than many rival central banks to shock and awe with policy,

steps that could do material damage to the currency's allure,"

said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union

Business Solutions.

U.S. manufacturing activity slowed in February as the supply

chain disruptions arising from the coronavirus outbreak dragged

on output and new orders, surveys of purchasing managers showed

on Monday. The damage to global markets due to the spread of the

coronavirus has raised hopes of a coordinated policy action from

global monetary authorities.

But policymakers at the European Central Bank, including its

president, Christine Lagarde, have shown reluctance to cut rates

from the current minus 0.5%.

On Monday, the euro was up 1.13% against the dollar.

The yen, which tends to draw investors during times of

geopolitical or financial stress as Japan is the worlds biggest

creditor nation, was up 0.1% against the dollar despite Bank of

Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda saying the BOJ would take

necessary steps to stabilize financial markets. Sterling fell broadly, hitting a new four-and-a-half month

low against a strengthening euro as traders took a cautious view

at the start of talks between Britain and the European Union on

their relationship after Brexit.

Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

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