FOREX-Dollar dips as Fed signals pause in rate-cutting cycle

Published 30/10/2019, 20:13
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar dips as Fed signals pause in rate-cutting cycle
DXY
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* Fed cuts rates, but signals a pause

* U.S. economy slowed less than expected in Q3

(Adds quote, updates prices)

By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK, Oct 30 (Reuters) - The dollar fell against a

basket of major currencies on Wednesday, reversing initial

gains, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the

third time this year but signaled its rate-cut cycle might be at

a pause, as was broadly expected.

In lowering its policy rate by a quarter of a percentage

point to a target range of between 1.50% and 1.75%, the U.S.

central bank dropped a previous reference in its policy

statement that it "will act as appropriate" to sustain the

economic expansion - language that was considered a sign for

future rate cuts. “That suggests that it's going to take a little bit more

weakness from here on out for the Fed to lower rates, and really

it's going to take quite a sustained turn for the worse in terms

of trade discussions,” said Bipan Rai, North American head of fx

strategy at CIBC Capital Markets in Toronto.

Comments by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in the press

conference following the U.S. central bank's statement further

boosted the notion that additional cuts in the near-term are

unlikely.

The current stance of monetary policy is likely to remain

appropriate and it would take a material reassessment in the

outlook for the Fed to change its current stance, Powell said.

The dollar index .DXY rose to 98.00 as Powell spoke, the

highest since Oct. 17, before retracing back to 97.53, down

0.16% on the day.

Broad expectations heading into the meeting that the Fed

would adopt a more hawkish tone was seen as limiting dollar

strength.

"By and large the market was positioned for a less dovish or

a hawkish cut today, but there aren't any conclusive signals

that the Fed is done just yet," Rai said.

The dollar had briefly gained earlier on Wednesday after

data showed that the U.S. economy slowed less than expected in

the third quarter. The data “pointed to below trend growth, but still

relatively steady and pretty solid growth in the context of

what's going on in the rest of the world,” said Erik Nelson, a

currency strategist at Wells Fargo in New York.

Payrolls data for October released on Friday is the next

major U.S. economic focus.

The greenback also temporarily dipped on reports that Chile

has withdrawn as host of an APEC trade summit in November where

the United States and China had been expected to take major

steps toward ending a 15-month-old trade war. Optimism that the U.S. and China will reach a deal has

boosted risk sentiment this week.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:08PM (1908 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1135 $1.1110 +0.23% -2.91% +1.1138 +1.1081

Dollar/Yen JPY= 108.8100 108.8700 -0.06% -1.32% +109.2800 +108.8000

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 121.20 120.98 +0.18% -3.98% +121.2700 +120.8800

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9898 0.9937 -0.39% +0.86% +0.9945 +0.9899

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2892 1.2865 +0.21% +1.06% +1.2905 +1.2846

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3174 1.3085 +0.68% -3.40% +1.3207 +1.3073

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6887 0.6864 +0.34% -2.31% +0.6887 +0.6849

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.1024 1.1045 -0.19% -2.04% +1.1049 +1.1015

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8634 0.8634 +0.00% -3.90% +0.8644 +0.8612

NZ NZD= 0.6367 0.6354 +0.20% -5.21% +0.6368 +0.6335

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.1996 9.2256 -0.28% +6.49% +9.2588 +9.1980

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.2446 10.2536 -0.09% +3.42% +10.2784 +10.2320

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.6745 9.7005 -0.06% +7.93% +9.7421 +9.6729

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.7722 10.7790 -0.06% +4.95% +10.8210 +10.7705

(Editing by David Gregorio and Marguerita Choy)

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