FOREX-Dollar drops after Fed rate cut, European data beat forecasts

Published 31/10/2019, 14:59
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar drops after Fed rate cut, European data beat forecasts
DXY
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* Market participants see further U.S. rate cuts possible

* Euro zone economic growth steady over past quarter

* U.S. consumer spending rose in September

(New throughout, updates prices, market activity and comments

to U.S. market open, new byline, changes dateline, previous

LONDON)

By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK, Oct 31 (Reuters) - The dollar fell to a 10-day low

against a basket of major currencies on Thursday as investors

evaluated whether the Federal Reserve would continue to cut

rates, and after European data beat expectations.

The Fed on Wednesday lowered its policy rate by a quarter of

a percentage point to a target range of 1.50% to 1.75%.

It also dropped a previous reference in its policy statement

that it would "act as appropriate" to sustain the economic

expansion - language that was considered a sign of future rate

cuts. Market participants remain concerned about a slowdown in the

U.S. economy as the trade war between the United States and

China continues, however, which could force the Fed's hand.

"The new, slightly shorter, statement tries to keep their

options open and puts them back into a data-dependent mode, but

circumstances could mean that they have less optionality than

they think," said Tim Foster, portfolio manager at Fidelity

International in London.

The dollar index .DXY dropped as low as 97.22, the lowest

since Oct. 21, before retracing to 97.38, down 0.27% on the day.

It rose as high as 98.00 on Wednesday following the Fed

decision, its highest since Oct. 17.

Speculators have been cutting their long dollar bets as the

U.S. currency holds near historically high levels. Any

improvement in global data is considered likely to weigh on the

dollar as investors bet on improving growth in Europe and other

regions. IMM/FX

There is a view "that the dollar is expensive and as the

global economy might be able to rebound next year, then the bias

is to sell the dollar," said Vassili Serebriakov, an FX

strategist at UBS in New York.

Data released on Thursday showed that euro zone economic

growth was unchanged in the third quarter, beating market

expectations that it would slow. In the United States, consumer spending rose in September

while wages were unchanged, which could cast doubt on whether

consumers would continue to drive the economy. data for October released on Friday are the next major

U.S. economic focus.

The Japanese yen gained to a two-week high as optimism that

the United States and China would reach a trade deal faded.

Chinese officials have doubts about whether they can reach a

comprehensive long-term trade agreement with Washington and U.S.

President Donald Trump, Bloomberg reported on Thursday, citing

unnamed sources. Currency bid prices at 9:34AM (1334 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1144 $1.1148 -0.04% -2.83% +1.1174 +1.1145

Dollar/Yen JPY= 108.2800 108.8300 -0.51% -1.80% +108.8900 +108.1100

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 120.72 121.36 -0.53% -4.36% +121.4600 +120.5600

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9875 0.9892 -0.17% +0.62% +0.9895 +0.9862

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2952 1.2901 +0.40% +1.53% +1.2975 +1.2895

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3157 1.3156 +0.01% -3.52% +1.3178 +1.3148

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6908 0.6902 +0.09% -2.00% +0.6929 +0.6889

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.1008 1.1030 -0.20% -2.19% +1.1036 +1.1006

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8603 0.8641 -0.44% -4.24% +0.8647 +0.8602

NZ NZD= 0.6425 0.6387 +0.59% -4.35% +0.6432 +0.6386

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.1891 9.1813 +0.08% +6.37% +9.2212 +9.1586

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.2425 10.2350 +0.07% +3.40% +10.2815 +10.2270

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.6402 9.6517 -0.14% +7.55% +9.6670 +9.6203

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.7449 10.7605 -0.14% +4.69% +10.7841 +10.7430

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