FOREX-Dollar edges up ahead of potentially market-moving Trump trade speech

Published 12/11/2019, 10:20
Updated 12/11/2019, 10:28
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar edges up ahead of potentially market-moving Trump trade speech
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Elizabeth Howcroft

Nov 12 (Reuters) - The dollar was stronger against the yen

and Swiss franc on Tuesday as traders grew optimistic ahead of a

speech by U.S. President Donald Trump, during which he is

expected to again postpone imposing tariffs on European Union

autos.

Trump's speech to the Economic Club of New York is expected

to be market-moving as he is scheduled to discuss U.S. trade

policy. Currency traders will also be listening for hints about

the Trump administration's long-running trade war with China,

and any progress towards the "phase one" trade deal.

"The market has obviously been quite wary about whether a

phase one deal is on or not - a lot of hopes are being placed on

this speech one way or another," said Jane Foley, senior forex

strategist at Rabobank.

"We just don't know which way he's going to go," she said,

as Trump can be "very impulsive" and therefore difficult to

predict.

"I suspect that he will provide just enough encouragement to

indicate that there is reason to be hopeful, without probably

saying that it's a done deal," Foley said.

Versus a basket of currencies, the global dollar index

.DXY rose 0.1%.

The dollar strengthened against safe haven currencies: it

was up 0.2% against both the Japanese yen JPY=EBS and the

Swiss franc CHF=EBS in early London trading.

The euro was down by 0.1% against the dollar at $1.10225

EUR=EBS , close to the four-week low of $1.10165 it fell to

last week.

The New Zealand dollar was down 0.5% at 0.6335 versus the

U.S. dollar, only slightly recovered from the low of $0.6323 it

reached last week NZD=D3 after a central bank survey showed

the country's near-term inflation expectations dropped,

increasing traders' expectations of a rate cut this week.

The offshore Chinese yuan was flat against the dollar at

around 7, a threshold it crossed for the first time in August

CNH=EBS . The yuan weakened on political unrest in Hong Kong,

as well as because of weak economic data in mainland China.

In Hong Kong, riot police fired tear gas at a university

campus on Tuesday, a day after a protester was shot and a man

set on fire in some of the most dramatic unrest to rock the

Chinese-ruled city in more than five months. The Chinese foreign ministry said that stopping the violence

is the most important thing and that the United States, United

Kingdom and other countries should not interfere. The dollar was boosted last week when comments from the

Chinese trade ministry were interpreted as a sign of progress on

rolling back China-U.S. tariffs, causing traders to dump

safe-haven currencies like the yen. However, uncertainty hit again on Friday when Trump said

that he had not agreed to reduce tariffs.

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