FOREX-Dollar falls 0.6% on U.S.-China deal reports

Published 13/12/2019, 10:04
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar falls 0.6% on U.S.-China deal reports
DXY
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* Risk-on mood on reports of U.S.-China deal terms

* UK election result boosts European currencies

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Elizabeth Howcroft

Dec 13 (Reuters) - The dollar fell more than half a percent

on Friday, with global risk appetite boosted by the apparent

clearing of two clouds that have been hanging over world markets

-- U.S.-China tariffs due on Dec. 15 and Britain's election.

The U.S.-China trade war looked set to de-escalate after

U.S. sources said Washington had set out its terms for a trade

deal, offering to suspend some of the new wave of tariffs due on

Sunday and to cut others. The Japanese yen fell 0.3% and is approaching its lowest

versus the dollar in more than six months as demand for the

safe-haven currency went down JPY=EBS .

The dollar index .DXY was down 0.6%.

After 17 months of market-moving comments from both the U.S.

and China sides of the trade war, some uncertainty remains and

traders will be waiting until the Dec. 15 deadline has passed

before fully boosting risk appetite.

"Only if it's actually signed and it's really official then

the market will fully price it in," said Commerzbank FX

strategist Thu Lan Nguyen.

Although the offshore yuan was initially boosted on trade

deal hopes, it was down 0.6% versus the dollar in early London

trading, partially erasing the previous day's gains CNH=EBS .

Nguyen said she expected the yuan to appreciate to below 6.9

- at least temporarily - when a trade deal is signed.

Meanwhile, European currencies were boosted by the

market-friendly results of Britain's election, which delivered a

bigger-than-expected parliamentary majority for Prime Minister

Boris Johnson's pro-Brexit Conservative party. The euro was up 0.4% against the dollar, having hit a

four-month high in overnight trading before paring gains

EUR=EBS .

The pound sterling rose as much as $1.3516 versus the dollar

GBP=D3 and 82.78 pence per euro EURGBP=D3 after an exit poll

suggested the Conservatives would win an outright majority.

With results still coming in, the Conservatives look set to

win their best result since 1987. Markets consider that this result paves the way for Britain

to negotiate its departure from the European Union. But, with a

trade deal deadline of December 2020, the uncertainty is far

from over. "There is a risk of some disappointment if businesses

continue to hold back on spending until they have more clarity

on the future trading relationship," currency analysts at MUFG

wrote in a note to clients.

(Editing by Timothy Heritage)

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