FOREX-Dollar gains on trade optimism, Aussie in focus ahead of RBA

Published 05/11/2019, 01:34
Updated 05/11/2019, 01:36
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar gains on trade optimism, Aussie in focus ahead of RBA
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Dollar benefits from positive news about trade war

* Safe havens fall as sentiment swings to risk on

* Australian dollar on hold before RBA meeting

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Nov 5 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar rose against the

yen on Tuesday thanks to growing optimism the United States and

China are on the verge of reaching a preliminary agreement to

scale back their bruising trade war.

The yen and the Swiss franc, two currencies that are often

bought as safe havens during times of economic or political

strife, nursed losses as investors became more comfortable

taking on risk.

The Australian dollar traded near its lowest in about a week

before a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting later on

Tuesday. Monetary policy is likely to be kept steady, but an

accompanying statement may provide clues to how much further

rates could fall.

In recent days, Beijing and Washington have given

encouraging signs of progress in trade talks. The U.S.

government is considering dropping some tariffs on Chinese

goods, the Financial Times reported on Monday.

Bloomberg also reported that China is reviewing locations in

the United States where he could sign a so-called "Phase 1"

trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump.

Both countries have slapped tariffs on each other's goods in

a trade war that has dragged on for 16 months and raised the

spectre of a global recession.

Any progress in resolving the row could potentially boost

the dollar and riskier assets, ease concern about the economic

outlook and reduce the need for aggressive monetary easing.

"The mood is very much risk on, so that's how investors will

approach the market," said Minori Uchida, head of global market

research at MUFG Bank in Tokyo.

"We're getting some positive news about trade talks. This is

all supportive of the dollar, and this trend could continue."

The dollar rose 0.12% to 108.70 yen JPY=EBS in early trade

in Asia, adding to a 0.4% gain on Monday.

The U.S. currency was a shade higher at 0.9886 Swiss Franc

CHF=EBS following a 0.2% gain in the previous session.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies stood at 97.556, close to its highest in almost a

week.

In the offshore market, the yuan CNH=D3 edged slightly

higher to 7.0255 per dollar underpinned by hopes for a trade

deal.

Currency traders are also waiting for the U.S. ISM

non-manufacturing report due later on Tuesday, which is forecast

to show activity accelerated slightly in October.

The U.S. Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times

this year, but recent data suggest the U.S. economic outlook is

not as bad as some had feared - another positive for the dollar.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 was little changed at $0.6888

but was up 0.17% to 74.88 yen AUDJPY= .

Australia's central bank is expected to leave its cash rate

at a record low of 0.75% on Tuesday, with the RBA's statement

set to possibly signal how much further interest rates will

fall.

Many economists expect the RBA to cut rates at least once

early next year to help revive inflation and a slowing economy.

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