FOREX-Dollar holds gains as European markets rebound after crash

Published 13/03/2020, 10:31
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar holds gains as European markets rebound after crash

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* ECB did not follow Fed, BoE in cutting rates

* European markets rebound after Thursday's meltdown

* Policymakers struggle with coronavirus response

LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - The dollar stood tall on Friday

as investors rushed to buy the currency amid deepening panic

over the coronavirus epidemic, while the euro nursed losses

after the European Central Bank underwhelmed investors by not

cutting rates.

The greenback held gains against most currencies after a

blowout in swap spreads on Thursday signalled that investors

want dollars.

Equity markets in Europe clawed back some ground in early

trading to steady nerves after plunging on Thursday.

Norway's central bank became the latest to cut rates on

Friday in an attempt to limit the economic damage, sending the

crown up about 1% against the U.S. dollar and the euro as

investors welcomed the move to support the oil-dependent economy

NOK=D3 EURNOK=D3 . The ECB on Thursday announced a stimulus package that

provides loans to banks with rates as low as -0.75% and

increases bond purchases, but it did not join its counterparts

in the United States and Britain by cutting rates. The Federal Reserve moved on Thursday to provide $1.5

trillion in short-term liquidity and changed the durations of

Treasuries it buys, but money markets show investors expect the

Fed will have to go even further to restore calm to financial

markets.

ECB President Christine Lagarde aggravated a market selloff

by saying it was not the central bank's job to close the spread

between the borrowing costs of various members, comments which

she later tried to roll back. Opinion was divided on the ECB's package, with analysts at

Commerzbank arguing that its decision "not to fire all pointless

Bazooka barrels" with a rate cut was a sensible choice and

predicted the euro was likely to recover.

"In times of crisis the ECB does not take extreme,

EUR-negative measures. Let us give the market a little more time

to get used to that," they said.

"Once it has done that it is likely to value the euro more

highly, reflecting the fact that a safe haven currency is

attractive to investors."

The euro EUR=EBS traded at $1.12035, following a 0.7%

decline on Thursday in the wake of the ECB decision. For the

week, the common currency is on course for a 0.7% decline.

Against the pound GBP=D3 , the dollar fell slightly to

$1.2596 on Friday, following its biggest one-day gain against

sterling since July 2016.

The dollar rose 1.1% to 105.81 yen JPY=EBS on Friday, on

course for a 0.5% weekly advance.

The greenback's rebound this week reflects its role as the

world's most liquid currency that investors seek in times of

stress.

The Fed meets next week and many analysts now expect the

central bank to chop its own target policy rate, quite possibly

to zero, and give markets new guidance about how it plans to

combat the economic fallout from the coronavirus.

The Bank of Japan, which will announce a policy decision

next week Thursday after the Fed, announced the unscheduled

purchase of 200 billion yen ($1.90 billion) in government debt

on Friday. It also said it would inject an additional 1.5

trillion yen in two-week lending in a sign of concern that

liquidity could dry up. Cross-currency basis swap spreads for the yen JPYCBS3M=

and the pound GBPCBS3M=ICAP fell on Friday after Thursday's

blow out.

The Australian AUD=D3 and New Zealand dollars NZD=D3

bounced around 1%. They were mauled on Thursday as investors

shunned riskier currencies that are linked to the global

commodities trade.

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