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FOREX-Dollar inches up as recession fears persist

Published 28/08/2019, 20:52
FOREX-Dollar inches up as recession fears persist
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(Recasts, new throughout)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Aug 28 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Wednesday,

but the moves were small and range-bound as a deepening

inversion of the U.S. yield curve stoked investor anxiety about

a recession just days before U.S. and Chinese retaliatory

tariffs on each other's imports are set to go into effect.

Two-year U.S. government bond yields US2YT=RR rose further

above 10-year yields US10YT=RR to a spread as low as minus 6.5

basis points US2US10=TWEB . The spread, which signals coming

recession when it falls below zero, was last at minus 3.7 basis

points. Investors are worried the U.S.-China trade war could tip

the world into an economic slowdown.

The U.S. Trade Representative's office on Wednesday

reaffirmed President Donald Trump's plans to impose an

additional 5% tariff on a list of $300 billion of Chinese

imports starting on Sept. 1 and Dec. 15. The safe-haven yen stood at 106.07 per dollar JPY= , 0.32%

weaker on the day, but nevertheless close to its 2-1/2-year high

of 104.44 hit on Monday.

Much of the decline in dollar/yen since last week is due to

investors becoming more risk-averse, said Adam Cole, currency

strategist at RBC Capital Markets. The dollar bid on Wednesday,

however, was unlikely to be the result of a risk-off move.

"We continue to believe that any reversal in recent risk-off

price action is likely to be an occasion to get out of long

positions in risky assets and to add exposure to defensive

trades from more attractive levels. We therefore caution against

entering pro-risk trades for the time being," wrote analysts at

Credit Suisse (SIX:CSGN).

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against a

basket of six currencies, rose 0.25% to 98.248 .DXY . The

Chinese yuan edged lower to 7.169 CNH= in offshore markets,

not far from the record low of 7.186 it touched on Monday.

Elsewhere, sterling slumped as much as 1% against the euro

and the dollar on British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's move to

limit parliament's opportunity to derail his Brexit plans.

The prime minister will formally open parliament on Oct. 14,

effectively shutting Westminster for around a month in

September, which reduces the time in which lawmakers could try

to block a no-deal Brexit.

Sterling was last down 0.62% at $1.2211 GBP= and 0.55%

lower versus the euro at 90.70 pence EURGBP= .

The euro was slightly weaker against the dollar EUR= , down

0.12% at $1.1077, little helped by the news that Italy's 5-Star

Movement and the opposition Democratic Party would try to form a

coalition, averting a snap election.

GRAPHIC: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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