FOREX-Dollar left devastated by surprise Fed rate cut

Published 04/03/2020, 01:43
Updated 04/03/2020, 01:45
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar left devastated by surprise Fed rate cut
US10YT=X
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* Tracking the coronavirus: https://tmsnrt.rs/3aIRuz7

* Fed rate cut fails to stabilise equities

* Coronavirus roils financial markets

* Dollar sold as investors bet more easing is likely

By Stanley White

TOKYO, March 4 (Reuters) - The dollar fell to a five-month

low versus the yen after an emergency 50 basis point cut in

interest rates by the U.S. Federal Reserve was deemed

insufficient to offset downside risks posed by the global spread

of the coronavirus.

The greenback traded near the lowest in almost two years

against the Swiss franc as investors flocked to traditional safe

havens.

The euro was one of the currencies to benefit most from the

broad-based dollar weakness as traders bet the Fed will cut

rates more than the European Central Bank.

Disappointment that a Group of Seven statement on Tuesday

did not lay out a specific response to a global slowdown caused

by the coronavirus has reinforced the view among some investors

that policymakers have fallen behind the curve.

"The G7 and the Fed were not enough to support markets,"

said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Mizuho

Securities in Tokyo.

"This Fed rate cut is bad for dollar/yen, partly because

Treasury yields are now very low. The dollar's weakness is

reflected in the euro, because the Fed will likely ease more

that the ECB."

The dollar fell to 106.85 yen JPY=EBS in Asia on

Wednesday, its lowest in almost five months.

The greenback bought 0.9566 Swiss franc CHF=EBS , close to

its weakest level in almost two years.

The Fed surprised investors by cutting rates by 50 basis

points to a target range of 1.00% to 1.25% on Tuesday, two weeks

ahead of a regularly scheduled policy meeting. Interest rate futures traders pricing in a 51.4% probability

of a further 25 basis point cut in April, according to the CME

Group's FedWatch Tool.

The rate cut failed to arrest a sell-off in U.S. equities

and sent benchmark 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR crashing

to a record low 0.906%, further reducing the appeal of the

dollar.

A novel coronavirus that emerged in China late last year

has spread to more than 60 countries and claimed more than 3,000

lives. Travel restrictions and factory closures aimed at halting

the spread of the virus raise the risk of a global recession.

Sentiment also took at a hit after G7 finance ministers

issued a statement on Tuesday that stopped short of calling for

new government spending or coordinated central bank interest

rate cuts. Broad-based selling in the dollar encouraged euro bulls to

aggressively buy the common currency.

The euro EUR=EBS last traded at $1.1173, close to a

one-month high reached on Tuesday.

Against sterling, the euro EURGBP=D3 traded at 87.15

pence, close to the highest in almost four months.

Sterling GBP=D3 bought $1.2817, holding onto modest gains

from the previous session.

Uncertainty about trade talks between Britain and the

European Union is weighing on sterling, along with growing

expectations for UK interest rate cuts.

Money markets are now fully pricing in a cut of 25 basis

points on March 26 when the Bank of England next meets.

Almost two cuts are priced by the end of 2020, compared to

none a few weeks ago. BOEWATCH=

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