FOREX-Dollar rises on trade deal hopes, Aussie steady after RBA holds fire

Published 05/11/2019, 04:46
Updated 05/11/2019, 04:54
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar rises on trade deal hopes, Aussie steady after RBA holds fire
DXY
-

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Dollar benefits from positive news about trade war

* Safe havens fall as sentiment swings to risk on

* Australian dollar steady after RBA holds rates

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Nov 5 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar advanced against

the yen on Tuesday thanks to growing optimism the United States

and China are on the verge of reaching a preliminary agreement

to scale back their bruising trade war.

The yen and the Swiss franc, two currencies that are often

bought as safe havens during times of economic or political

strife, nursed losses as investors became more comfortable

taking on risk.

The Australian dollar held steady after the Reserve Bank of

Australia (RBA) left monetary policy unchanged, as expected, and

said the main uncertainty continues to be the outlook for

consumer spending.

In recent days, Beijing and Washington have given

encouraging signs of progress in trade talks. The U.S.

government is considering dropping some tariffs on Chinese

goods, the Financial Times reported on Monday.

Bloomberg also reported that China is reviewing locations in

the United States where he could sign a so-called "Phase 1"

trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump.

Both countries have slapped tariffs on each other's goods in

a trade war that has dragged on for 16 months and raised the

spectre of a global recession.

Any progress in resolving the row could potentially boost

the dollar and riskier assets, ease concern about the economic

outlook and reduce the need for aggressive monetary easing.

"The mood is very much risk on, so that's how investors will

approach the market," said Minori Uchida, head of global market

research at MUFG Bank in Tokyo.

"We're getting some positive news about trade talks. This is

all supportive of the dollar, and this trend could continue."

The dollar rose 0.17% to 108.77 yen JPY=EBS in Asia,

adding to a 0.4% gain on Monday.

The U.S. currency rose 0.17% to 0.9895 Swiss Franc

CHF=EBS , following a 0.2% gain in the previous session.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies rose 0.1% to 97.599, reaching its highest in almost a

week.

In the offshore market, the yuan CNH=D3 edged slightly

higher to 7.0255 per dollar underpinned by hopes for a trade

deal. In the onshore market, the yuan CNY=CFXS was little

changed at 7.0276 versus the dollar.

Earlier on Tuesday the People's Bank of China cut the

interest rate on its medium-term lending facility for the first

time since early 2016 to prop up a slowing economy. Currency traders are also waiting for the U.S. ISM

non-manufacturing report due later on Tuesday, which is forecast

to show activity accelerated slightly in October.

The U.S. Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times

this year, but recent data suggest the U.S. economic outlook is

not as bad as some had feared - another positive for the dollar.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 was little changed at $0.6884

but was up 0.15% to 74.92 yen AUDJPY= .

Australia's central bank left its cash rate at a record low

of 0.75% on Tuesday and reiterated its concern about consumer

spending. It said rates are likely to remain low for an extended

period.

Many economists expect the RBA to cut rates at least once

early next year to help revive inflation and a slowing economy.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.