FOREX-Dollar rises to near one-month highs as data disappoint

Published 14/11/2019, 13:59
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar rises to near one-month highs as data disappoint
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Saikat Chatterjee

LONDON, Nov 14 (Reuters) - The dollar recovered from earlier

lows as weak economic data and concern about whether Beijing and

Washington will reach a trade deal burnished its appeal as a

safe haven.

Demand for safe-haven assets also helped the yen and the

Swiss franc, but the dollar's rebound was more pronounced after

it faltered in late Asian trading.

A dollar index measuring it against six other currencies

.DXY rose 0.05% to 98.424, just shy of a one-month high of

98.447 tested overnight. It was down as much as 0.1% earlier.

The dollar generally gains towards the end of the year as

investors wind down trading, and demand has been strengthened

this year by higher interest rates and stronger economic growth

in the United States.

Optimism for an economic recovery and a rebound in global

trade is not yet strong enough for other currencies to start

outperforming the dollar, said Brad Bechtel, a managing director

at Jefferies.

"This fits well with the narrative that seasonality, carry

and a benign macro backdrop should keep the dollar stabilised,"

Bechtel said.

China's factory output growth slowed more than expected in

October, Japan's economy ground to a standstill in the third

quarter and the German economy only narrowly avoided a recession

in the third quarter. The dollar's strength was particularly evident against

trade-oriented currencies, such as the euro and the pound,

against which it gained about 0.2%.

It was also evident against emerging-market currencies,

where a JP Morgan index fell to a near-decade low.

AUSSIE TANKS

The Australian dollar led losers after weak domestic jobs

data raised concern that the central bank might have to loosen

policy again in 2020. It was down more than half a percentage

point to its lowest since mid-October at $0.6798 AUD=D4 .

"Increasing signs of unrest in Hong Kong and Latin America

coupled with the uncertainty around the trade talks is keeping

the risk-off sentiment well and alive in FX markets," said Lee

Hardman, a London-based currency strategist at MUFG.

U.S.-China trade negotiations have "hit a snag" over farm

purchases, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday, citing

people familiar with the matter. Swiss franc gains have outpaced those by the yen, on bets

that the Swiss National Bank has stepped back from its currency

interventions. It was trading at 1.0880 per euro EURCHF= , just

below Wednesday's 1.0879.

EM index https://tmsnrt.rs/34VpMeC

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