FOREX-Dollar slips after Fed cuts but indicates a pause; BOJ decision eyed

Published 31/10/2019, 02:35
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar slips after Fed cuts but indicates a pause; BOJ decision eyed
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* Fed cuts rate by 25 bps as expected but signals a possible

pause

* Chile cancels APEC summit where U.S.-China trade deal

expected

* BOJ seen keeping policy steady, decision due later

Thursday

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tomo Uetake

TOKYO, Oct 31 (Reuters) - The dollar dipped against a basket

of major currencies on Thursday, reversing earlier gains, after

the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this

year but signalled its rate-cut cycle might be at a pause, as

was broadly expected.

In lowering its policy rate by 25 basis points to a target

range of between 1.50% and 1.75%, the U.S. central bank dropped

a previous reference in its policy statement that it "will act

as appropriate" to sustain the economic expansion - language

that was considered a sign for future cuts. Still, lack of an explicit signal from the Fed that it is

done with easing for now was perceived to be less hawkish than

expected, helping to drive the dollar down.

"The new, slightly shorter, statement tries to keep their

options open and puts them back into a data-dependent mode, but

circumstances could mean that they have less optionality than

they think," said Tim Foster, portfolio manager at Fidelity

International in London.

The dollar index .DXY rose to 98.00 as Fed Chairman

Jerome Powell spoke about its decision, the highest since Oct.

17, before slipping. The index was last down 0.3% at 97.37, its

lowest level in a week.

The euro last changed hands at $1.1167 EUR= , while the

greenback last traded at 108.66 yen JPY= .

The dollar also temporarily dipped on news that Chile has

withdrawn as host of an APEC trade summit in November where the

United States and China had been expected to take major steps

toward ending a 15-month-old trade war. Optimism that the U.S. and China will soon agree on a

partial deal has boosted risk sentiment this week.

Sterling edged up after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson

won parliamentary approval on Wednesday to hold a general

election in December, though moves were limited as large

currency options expiring this week curbed volatility.

The pound GBP=D4 was trading at $1.2921, a shade higher on

the day.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars firmed as investors

scaled back wagers on local interest rate cuts after the Fed

indicated it might be pausing in its easing campaign.

The Aussie AUD=D4 reached a three-month top at $0.6918,

having been as low as $0.6849 at one stage on Wednesday, and

the kiwi dollar NZD=D4 popped up to $0.6420, leaving behind

Wednesday's low of $0.6335.

Westpac economists changed their call on New Zealand

interest rates, now expecting no cut at the Reserve Bank of New

Zealand's (RBNZ) policy meeting on Nov. 13. Investors have also

been lengthening the odds on a move from the Reserve Bank of

Australia (RBA) in the near term.

The Bank of Japan will likely hold off on expanding stimulus

later in the day, as calm markets and easing U.S.-China trade

tensions take the heat off the central bank from using its

limited monetary arsenal to fight the risk of recession.

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