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FOREX-Dollar snaps 3-day losing streak as Fed minutes eyed

Published 19/11/2019, 12:40
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar snaps 3-day losing streak as Fed minutes eyed
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - The dollar snapped a three-day

losing streak against rivals on Tuesday thanks to gains in the

Swiss franc and the Japanese yen but remained trapped within

well-worn ranges before the release of minutes from the latest

U.S. central bank meeting.

At its end-October policy meeting, the Fed cut interest

rates for the third time this year, and hedge funds have ramped

up bearish bets versus the dollar in the last three weeks in

anticipation of more greenback weakness.

Waning hopes of a preliminary trade deal between the United

States and China have also weighed on the dollar, knocking it

from a one-month high tested last week.

"Trade headlines are buffeting markets though there is a

general feeling the worst is behind us on the trade war front

but there needs to be a firm catalyst to move markets out of

their ranges," said Neil Mellor, a senior FX strategist at BNY

Mellon in London.

Expectations had grown that Washington and Beijing would

sign a so-called "phase one" deal this month to scale back their

16-month-long trade war but those hopes received a setback on

Monday after CNBC reported that China is pessimistic about

agreeing to a deal. The dollar drifted 0.1% higher .DXY to 97.87 against its

rivals after three consecutive days of losses.

Its gains were most pronounced against the perceived

safe-haven currencies of the franc CHF= and the yen JPY= ,

rising 0.2% against both.

LOW VOLATILITY

Despite the gains, the dollar and the broader currency

complex remained mired within recent trading ranges.

Deutsche Bank estimates that currency market volatility for

the major G10 currency pairs is at its lowest levels in 45

years.

Against the dollar, the major G10 currencies are on track

for an average annual range of nearly 8.5%, compared to a post

Bretton Woods range of 15.2% and a peak of 30.7% in 2008.

A period of low inflation, limited changes to central bank

policies and a concerted push by global policymakers to stem any

negative pressures in global markets have all contributed to

this ultra-low period of financial market volatility.

Elsewhere, Australia's central bank agreed "a case could be

made" for another cut to its 0.75% cash rate at its November

meeting given unwelcome weakness in wages growth and inflation,

minutes published on Tuesday showed.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 fell 0.16% to $0.6799 and

declined 0.26% to 73.82 yen AUDJPY= .

Sterling held firm around $1.2950 with the pound buoyed by

polls pointing to a victory by the ruling Conservatives in

upcoming elections.

In the onshore market, the yuan CNY=CFXS fell to a

two-week low of 7.0295 per dollar.

G7 implied volatility https://tmsnrt.rs/2qfLknL

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