FOREX-Dollar surges versus Japanese yen as markets rally

Published 13/03/2020, 13:40
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar surges versus Japanese yen as markets rally

* Dollar surges, adds more than 2% vs yen

* ECB did not follow Fed, BoE in cutting rates

* European markets rebound after Thursday's meltdown

* Policymakers struggle with coronavirus response

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Iain Withers

LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - The dollar rallied on Friday,

gaining sharply versus the yen, as stock markets rebounded and

investors welcomed signs that governments and policymakers were

prepared to do more to tackle the economic shock of the

coronavirus.

The greenback extended gains against several currencies

after a blowout in swap spreads on Thursday signalled that

investors want dollars. While those spreads came in on Friday,

the dollar held strong.

Among the big gains was against the Japanese yen, up more

than 2% to a weekly high at 107.17 yen on Friday JPY=EBS .

The euro nursed losses despite European Central Bank

policymakers trying to reassure markets following a big selloff

in European assets on Thursday after investors were underwhelmed

by the bank's stimulus measures.

Norway's central bank became the latest to cut rates on

Friday in an attempt to limit the economic damage, sending the

crown up around 2% against the U.S. dollar and the euro as

investors welcomed the move to support the oil-dependent economy

NOK=D3 EURNOK=D3 . Analysts at HSBC said the crown could rebound further if the

Norwegian government repatriates some of its vast overseas

assets.

"Norway still has some monetary policy flexibility. But more

importantly it has acres of fiscal room," they said.

The ECB on Thursday announced a stimulus package that

provides loans to banks with rates as low as -0.75% and

increases bond purchases, but it did not join its counterparts

in the United States and Britain by cutting rates. ECB President Christine Lagarde aggravated a market selloff

by saying it was not the central bank's job to close the spread

between the borrowing costs of various members, comments which

she later tried to roll back. Opinion was divided on the ECB's package, with analysts at

Commerzbank arguing that its decision "not to fire all pointless

Bazooka barrels" with a rate cut was a sensible choice and

predicted the euro was likely to recover.

"In times of crisis the ECB does not take extreme,

EUR-negative measures. Let us give the market a little more time

to get used to that," they said.

"Once it has done that it is likely to value the euro more

highly, reflecting the fact that a safe haven currency is

attractive to investors."

The euro EUR=EBS traded down 0.3% at $1.1158, following a

0.7% decline on Thursday in the wake of the ECB decision. For

the week, the common currency is on course for a 1% decline.

The pound GBP=D3 , dropped 0.5% to $1.2798.

The greenback's rebound this week reflects its role as the

world's most liquid currency that investors seek in times of

stress.

The Fed meets next week and many analysts now expect the

central bank to chop its own target policy rate, quite possibly

to zero, and give markets new guidance about how it plans to

combat the economic fallout from the coronavirus.

Cross-currency basis swap spreads for the yen JPYCBS3M=

and the pound GBPCBS3M=ICAP fell on Friday after Thursday's

blow out.

The Australian AUD=D3 and New Zealand dollars NZD=D3

bounced more than 1%. They were mauled on Thursday as investors

shunned riskier currencies that are linked to the global

commodities trade. The Swiss franc fell as investors dumped safe haven

currencies CHF=EBS EURCHF=EBS .

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