FOREX-Dollar ticks lower awaiting details on U.S.-China trade

Published 16/12/2019, 16:22
© Reuters. FOREX-Dollar ticks lower awaiting details on U.S.-China trade
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(New throughout; changes dateline, previous LONDON)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Dec 16 (Reuters) - The foreign exchange market was

on hold Monday morning, with the U.S. dollar slightly lower in

anticipation of further details on the U.S.-China trade

agreement.

U.S. President Donald Trump's top trade negotiator, Robert

Lighthizer, praised a "phase one" U.S.-China trade deal which is

expected to nearly double U.S. exports to China over the next

two years, while China remained cautious ahead of the signing of

the agreement.

Speaking on Sunday, Lighthizer said there would be some

routine "scrubs" to the text, but "this is totally done,

absolutely."

The deal, announced on Friday after more than two and a half

years of on-off negotiations between Washington and Beijing,

will reduce some U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods in exchange for

increased Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural, manufactured

and energy products by some $200 billion over the next two

years.

But although China's trade delegation expressed optimism

about the deal, some government officials are cautious. "(The

deal) is a phased achievement, and does not mean that the trade

dispute is settled once and for all," said a Reuters source in

Beijing with knowledge of the situation. Caution over the future path of trade talks pushed the

dollar index .DXY down 0.23%, last at 96.948. The trade

sensitive Chinese yuan CNH= and Australian dollar AUD= were

both off last week's four-month peaks.

"FX investors took one look at the semi-conclusion of a

"phase one" deal on Dec. 12 and were overjoyed, but came back to

the table on Dec. 13 with the feeling of having more questions

than real answers," said Stephen Gallo, European head of foreign

exchange strategy at BMO Capital Markets.

The euro EUR= , which had spiked to a four-month high of

$1.1199 against the dollar on Friday, retraced most of those

gains, last at $1.1152, nevertheless up modestly over the course

of Monday's trade. The yen JPY= , a safe-haven asset which

benefits from market uncertainty, reached a two-week low on

Friday before regaining some value to last trade at 109.50 yen

per dollar.

The "U.S.-China phase one deal offers more in terms of

negating some near-term downside risks facing the economy than

it offers for a sharp rebound in domestic or global activity,"

said Gallo.

"Importantly, our prior expectations for faster growth rates

in infrastructure investment do not seem to be coming to

fruition yet."

Elsewhere, sterling remained bolstered by expectations that

last week's resounding election win for British Prime Boris

Johnson's Conservative Party will end near-term Brexit

uncertainty. The pound was last trading at $1.335 GBP= , 0.21%

firmer on the day.

Currency market positioning https://tmsnrt.rs/38EYb41

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