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FOREX-Dollar ticks up, but yen holds gains as recession fears grow

Published 28/08/2019, 15:42
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar ticks up, but yen holds gains as recession fears grow
EUR/USD
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GBP/USD
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USD/JPY
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USD/CNY
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DX
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US2YT=X
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US10YT=X
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USD/CNH
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Recasts; adds analyst quotes; updates prices; changes

dateline, previous LONDON)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Aug 28 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was modestly

higher against the yen on Wednesday morning, but the move

indicated little change in investor sentiment as the Japanese

currency largely clung to its recent gains on growing fears of a

global economic downturn.

The yen stood at 105.83 per dollar JPY= , 0.10% weaker on

the day, but nevertheless close to the 2-1/2-year high of 104.44

hit on Monday as renewed trade tension sent investors into

safe-haven assets like the Japanese currency and government

bonds.

Two-year U.S. government bond yields US2YT=RR rose further

above 10-year yields US10YT=RR , a deepening of the yield-curve

inversion, a widely recognized signal of coming recession.

Investors are worried that the trade conflict between the United

States and China could tip the world into an economic slowdown.

"Much, if not all, of the decline in dollar/yen is simply

down to markets becoming more risk-averse," said Adam Cole,

currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

The dollar bid on Wednesday however, was unlikely to be the

result of a risk-off move.

"This supports our view that as bad as the risks have gotten

in the U.S., the rest of the world looks even shakier. Risks of

hard Brexit continue to rise, while Italian political drama

continues," said Win Thin, global head of currency strategy at

Brown Brothers Harriman, referring to the potential for the UK

to leave the European Union without a deal on Oct. 31.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against a

basket of six currencies, rose 0.19% to 98.186 .DXY . The

Chinese yuan edged lower to 7.1690 CNH= in offshore markets,

not far from the record low of 7.186 it touched on Monday.

Elsewhere, sterling slumped as much as 1% against the euro

and the dollar on British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's move to

limit parliament's opportunity to derail his Brexit plans.

A government source said the prime minister, who has vowed

to take Britain out of the EU without a divorce deal if

necessary, would set an Oct. 14 date for the Queen's Speech: the

formal state opening of a new session of parliament.

That would effectively shut parliament starting in

mid-September for around a month and reduce the parliamentary

time in which lawmakers could try to block a no-deal Brexit.

Sterling was last down 0.68% at $1.2204 GBP= and 0.62%

lower versus the euro at 90.77 pence EURGBP= , just off the

day's lows.

The euro was slightly weaker against the dollar EUR= , down

0.11% at $1.1078 with little in the way of new economic data

scheduled for Wednesday or developments to spark bigger moves.

GRAPHIC: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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