FOREX-Dollar up before payrolls, yuan slips on China virus woes

Published 07/02/2020, 03:22
Updated 07/02/2020, 03:28
FOREX-Dollar up before payrolls, yuan slips on China virus woes

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* Dollar stands tall before NFP report

* Traders closely watching China virus fallout

* Safe-havens head for weekly decline

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Feb 7 (Reuters) - The dollar held near a two-week

high versus the yen on Friday on upbeat U.S. economic data ahead

of a key jobs report, while the yuan eased and financial markets

remained on tenterhooks as the death toll from a new coronavirus

in China jumped yet again.

Sterling traded near a six-week low against the greenback

and nursed losses versus the euro, dogged by persistent worries

about negotiations between Britain and the European union for a

post-Brexit trade deal.

Recent upbeat U.S. economic data and China's stimulus steps

gave traders some respite from heightened concerns about the new

virus, though the uncertainty about the impact of the epidemic

on global growth looks set to keep most investors risk-averse -

at least in the short run.

"There is a perception that the U.S. economy will be less

affected by the virus than China or other countries, so that is

a factor for dollar strength," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief

currency strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.

"Risk-off trades could take a break because we won't know

the true state of China's economy until we see data for

February. There could be some big declines in the numbers for

China and other Asian countries."

The dollar traded at 109.97 yen JPY=EBS on Friday in Asia,

just below a two-week high hit earlier. For the week, the dollar

was on course for a 1.5% increase versus the yen, which would be

its biggest weekly gain since July 2018.

In the onshore market, the yuan CNY=CFXS fell 0.1% to

6.9796 per dollar. For the week, the onshore yuan fell 0.6% as

Chinese financial markets took a battering after resuming trade

on Monday following an extended Lunar New Year holiday.

In contrast, the offshore yuan was on course for a 0.3% gain

this week, supported by central bank stimulus and Thursday's

surprise Chinese announcement of tariff cuts on U.S. imports.

For now, the focus has shifted to the closely-watched U.S.

nonfarm payrolls report due later on Friday, which is forecast

to show job creation accelerated in January.

The mood for the dollar improved on Thursday after

unemployment benefits dropped to a nine-month low and worker

productivity rose. Data earlier this week showing a rebound in U.S.

manufacturing had also boosted the dollar's fortunes.

The U.S. optimism contrasts starkly with the jitters in Asia

as investors count the human toll of the virus and try to

measure how travel restrictions and business closures will

impact activity in the world's second-largest economy.

The yen and the Swiss franc, two currencies sought as

safe-havens, initially gained as the coronavirus epidemic

unfolded last month, but both currencies reversed course this

week.

Against the dollar, the Swiss franc CHF=EBS traded at

0.9743, headed for its biggest weekly decline since November

2019.

Sterling found itself on the backfoot as concerns about

Britain's relationship with the EU following its exit from the

bloc returned.

Investors are nervous that British Prime Minister Boris

Johnson is taking a hard line in trade talks with the EU, which

need to conclude before the end of the year to avoid a

potentially disruptive break in trading relations.

The pound GBP=D3 was little changed at $1.2938, close to

the lowest since Dec. 25 and down 2% for the week.

Sterling EURGBP=D3 traded at 84.97 pence per euro, on

course for a 1.1% weekly decline.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 fell 0.22% to $0.6717 after

the Reserve Bank of Australia slashed growth forecasts in its

quarterly economic outlook due to bushfires and the coronavirus.

The Aussie was still on course for its first weekly gain in

six weeks, supported by the RBA earlier in the week raising the

hurdle to further rate cuts.

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