FOREX-Euro and pound inch up as growth optimism cheers investors

Published 31/12/2019, 10:24
FOREX-Euro and pound inch up as growth optimism cheers investors
DXY
-

* Dollar loses ground against most currencies

* Australian dollar best outperforming G10 currency

overnight

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Dec 31 (Reuters) - The euro and the British pound

rose as the dollar weakened on Tuesday as investors saw global

growth improving next year, with the United States and China due

to finally sign a Phase 1 trade agreement this week.

The U.S. currency had maintained its strength over the

course of the year as investors saw the U.S. economy

outperforming the rest of the world.

In thin volumes on the last day of the decade, currencies

overall were more volatile than many expected, with the

trade-sensitive Australian dollar, Chinese yuan and Scandinavian

currencies all rising to their highest levels in weeks.

Sterling hovered around the two-week high it hit on Monday

against the dollar, though the possibility of a 'no-deal' Brexit

at the end of 2020 kept any gains subdued.

Still, analysts did not attribute the moves to any major

particular developments.

"I can't see much reason for the movement in the FX market

except end-year position squaring, or just being careful and

cutting positions ahead of the New Year's holiday and the start

of 2020. As a result I wouldn't draw any big conclusions from

it," said Marshal Gittler, currency analyst at ACLS Global.

Chinese Vice Premier Liu He will visit Washington this week

to sign a Phase 1 trade deal with the United States, the South

China Morning Post reported on Monday. White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said on Monday the

trade deal would likely be signed in the next week, but that

confirmation would come from President Donald Trump or the U.S.

trade representative. Investors' appetite for risk helped drive the euro EUR=EBS

up 0.1% to $1.1206, close to the 4-1/2-month high of $1.1221

reached on Monday.

Signs that the euro zone economy may be stabilising have

lifted the single currency in recent weeks as investors unwound

short positions, though the currency has shed 2.2% of its value

against the dollar in 2019. Latest CFTC data shows that hedge funds held $9.16 billion

of euro shorts, far less than the $14.84 billion seen in May.

EURNETUSD=

The U.S. dollar was weak across the board, though over the

course of the year, the index that tracks the dollar against a

basket of six currencies has risen by half a percentage point

.DXY .

MUFG analysts saw a "bearish technical development for the

U.S. dollar that signals an increasing risk of further weakness

ahead".

"Weakness in the U.S. dollar towards the end of this year

has coincided with the renewed expansion of the Fed's balance

and the paring back of pessimism over the outlook for global

growth," they said.

Versus the Japanese yen, the dollar fell to a near

three-week low of 108.625 yen JPY=EBS and was last down 0.2%.

Against the Chinese yuan, it shed 0.2% to 6.9674 in the

offshore market CNH=EBS after dipping to a 2-1/2-week low of

6.9630, as strong Chinese economic data helped boost the Chinese

currency. The Australian dollar rose to a five-month high of 0.7310

versus the U.S. dollar AUD=D3 , making it the best performing

major currency overnight, according to MUFG.

The New Zealand dollar, however, "remains the stand out

performer of the last quarter, surging nearly 8% over the past

three months, largely on the back of more positive sentiment

about global trade", MUFG analysts said.

Scandinavian currencies also strengthened against the

greenback following all-time lows seen this year on the back of

global growth fears sparked by U.S.-Chinese trade disputes.

The pound was up 0.3% at $1.3144 GBP=D3 , close to the

$1.3150 high seen on Monday, and a notch stronger against the

euro at 85.41 pence EURGBP=D3 .

Sterling has gained nearly 3% against the dollar and 5%

versus the euro this year, jumping to as high as $1.35 recently

after Prime Minister Boris Johnson's overwhelming win in a

parliamentary election, which eliminated a measure of

uncertainty.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.