FOREX-Euro falls to four-month low on weak German data; dollar gains

Published 07/02/2020, 09:57
Updated 07/02/2020, 10:01
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro falls to four-month low on weak German data; dollar gains
DXY
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* Euro hurt by poor German data, worst week since November

* Markets focus on U.S. non-farm payrolls report

* Coronavirus fears keep sentiment fragile

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

LONDON, Feb 7 (Reuters) - The euro fell to its lowest since

October on Friday after German industrial output for December

recorded its biggest decline in a decade and strong employment

numbers in the United States encouraged investors to buy the

dollar.

The dollar has gained in recent sessions from solid data and

because of fragile risk sentiment, as investors gauge the

economic ramifications from the coronavirus outbreak in China,

where the death toll continues to climb.

The focus for Friday is non-farm payrolls data, which are

expected to confirm that the U.S. labour market is in robust

health.

MUFG analyst Derek Halpenny said weak data in Germany

undermined European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde's

comments on Thursday that the euro zone economy was stabilising.

"The hard data sits inconsistently with most sentiment data

pointing to some improvement. But the political line that

`recovery is coming' is losing credibility fast," Halpenny said.

"The October 2019 low of $1.0879 is now a credible near-term

target given the scale of weakness in the German data,

especially if the much-anticipated improvement in the

coronavirus outlook fails to materialise."

Elsewhere, the offshore yuan slipped 0.2% to 6.99 yuan per

dollar CNH=EBS but remained below the 7 level it crossed

earlier this week. The offshore yuan was headed for a small gain

this week, supported by central bank stimulus and China's

announcement on Thursday of tariff cuts on U.S. imports.

The Australian dollar, often seen as a proxy for China,

weakened 0.5% to $0.6699 AUD=D3 after the Reserve Bank of

Australia slashed growth forecasts in its quarterly economic

outlook, blaming bushfires and the coronavirus. The U.S. dollar traded at 109.9 yen JPY=EBS on Friday,

just below a two-week high reached earlier. For the week, the

dollar was on course for a 1.5% gain versus the yen, which would

be its biggest weekly gain since July 2018.

The dollar index, which measures the currency against a

basket of rivals, edged 0.1% higher .DXY to 98.557, near its

strongest since mid-October.

Sterling traded near a six-week low against the dollar and

fell against the euro. It was headed for its worst week since

the aftermath of the December general election, dogged by

persistent worries about negotiations between Britain and the

European Union for a post-Brexit trade deal.

The pound was last down at $1.2923 GBP=D3 . It staged a

small recovery against the euro, rising 0.1% to 84.86 pence

EURGBP=D3 .

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