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FOREX-Euro falls to its lowest since May 2017

Published 30/08/2019, 18:23
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro falls to its lowest since May 2017
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(New throughout)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Aug 30 (Reuters) - The euro EUR= fell below

$1.10 on Friday to its weakest since May 2017 as a multi-day

downward shift in the single currency intensified in afternoon

trade.

Traders had varied explanations for the drop, including that

month-end rebalancing of portfolios heightened an existing bias.

The longer-term trend, which has seen the euro fall 0.90% in

August, has been driven by an economic slowdown in Europe among

other factors.

"We had a quick 50-odd point drop, which seems to be

month-end related. Clearly the euro has been quite soft for some

time. We touched below $1.10 earlier in August and we've

struggled really to rebound from that point. The underlying

softness that we've seen persist in the past month seems very

much intact," said Shaun Osborne, chief foreign exchange

strategist at Scotia Capital.

The move also began shortly after President Donald Trump

tweeted that the euro was dropping "like crazy" and lamented the

state of the U.S. dollar, attributing its strength to Federal

Reserve policy. A weaker dollar would send the euro higher,

suggesting the tweet did not have a direct effect on the pair.

The euro was last trading at $1.0976 against the dollar, down

0.71% on the day.

Poor euro zone economic data on Thursday reinforced views

that the European Central Bank would cut its benchmark interest

rate and announce a new round of quantitative easing at its

September meeting. Christine Lagarde, the ECB's next president,

said the central bank still has room to cut rates if necessary,

though divisions remain within the ECB.

"There still seems to be a debate in the ECB if there will

be a significant burst of easing or a more measured move next

month," said Osborne.

At the September meeting, "we think rate cuts at least,

though it may not be the time for renewed QE."

As the dollar rose, the offshore Chinese yuan headed toward

its biggest monthly decline in 25 years as the two countries

prepared for the implementation of new retaliatory tariffs on

Sunday.

The dollar index .DXY was 0.38% higher at 98.884, closing

the month little moved after having been whipped around by trade

headlines. Against the dollar, the offshore yuan CNH= was

0.28% weaker at 7.163, set for a 3.69% fall in August, it's

biggest monthly drop since 1994.

An additional 5% tariff on $125 billion of goods from China

is slated to kick in on Sunday. Investors fear the intensifying

trade dispute could lead the U.S. economy into recession.

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