FOREX-Euro hits lowest in three weeks as dollar gains from trade optimism

Published 08/11/2019, 12:43
Updated 08/11/2019, 12:46
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro hits lowest in three weeks as dollar gains from trade optimism

* Japanese yen near 5-month low vs. dollar

* Chinese offshore yuan set for sixth winning week vs.

dollar

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - The euro edged down to hit a new

three-week low against the dollar on Friday as the U.S. currency

shone on news that China and the United States had agreed to

cancel some tariffs as part of a potential preliminary pact to

end their trade war.

The two countries have agreed to roll back tariffs on each

others' goods in a "phase one" trade deal if it is completed,

officials from both sides said on Thursday. Sentiment is likely to remain supportive for the dollar,

equities and other risky assets as a de-escalation in the

U.S.-China trade war removes a huge risk to the global economic

outlook.

However, there is still some scepticism about a trade deal

as officials inside and outside the White House have bristled at

the notion of giving up punitive tariffs.

Muddying the waters further, White House spokeswoman

Stephanie Grisham told Fox News Channel on Thursday that the

United States is "very, very optimistic" about reaching a trade

deal with China soon. "When the trade war was looking like it was worsening,

people were buying dollars as a safe haven. Now that the trade

war seems to be winding down, people are buying dollars because

the U.S. economy will benefit," said Marshall Gittler,

strategist at ACLS Global.

"The market's attitude towards the euro is just plain

negative right now," he said, adding that he expects the risk

sentiment to wind down "unless or until the U.S. administration

chimes in with some confirmation" that the tariffs will be

rolled back.

The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1028 EUR=EBS , its lowest since

Oct. 15.

The prospects of an end to the U.S.-China trade war left the

safe-haven yen nursing losses against most major currencies.

Versus the dollar, the yen was near a five-month low

JPY=EBS and against the Australian dollar the Japanese

currency was close to a 15-week low AUDJPY=D3 .

Progress in resolving the 16-month-long trade war also

supported China's yuan. In the offshore market, the yuan

CNH=EBS traded at 6.9834 per dollar, close to a three-month

high it jumped to on Thursday. The yuan was set for its sixth

straight weekly gain.

Analysts from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, however, see

the optimism for the U.S. currency fading eventually.

"For the dollar to weaken back to its long-term equilibrium,

we need better global data and to get better global data, we

need trade deals," they said in a note to clients.

"We remain optimistic and continue expecting the dollar to

gradually weaken next year, as we put trade tensions behind (us)

and the outlook of the global economy improves," they said.

Traders will be watching for the University of Michigan

consumer survey in the United States, due at 1500 GMT.

Economists polled by Reuters expect the survey to inch slightly

higher to 95.9 in November from 95.5 in October.

The pound GBP=D3 traded just below $1.28, close to the

lowest since Oct. 24 and on course for a 1% decline this week.

The Bank of England has so far resisted following the U.S.

Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank in cutting its

main interest rate, but the outcome of Thursday's meeting

suggests the UK central bank is poised to change its stance.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.