FOREX-Euro near 7-week low after ECB; China virus worries linger

Published 24/01/2020, 04:51
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro near 7-week low after ECB; China virus worries linger
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* Euro soft as Lagarde drops no hint of policy normalisation

* Aussie, yuan under pressure on China pandemic fears, yen

* Sterling eyes PMI ahead of BoE policy decision next week

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Jan 24 (Reuters) - The euro hovered near a seven-week

low against the dollar on Friday after the European Central Bank

was seen as more cautious than expected, while anxiety over

China's coronavirus outbreak propped up the safe-haven yen.

The euro changed hands at $1.1055 EUR= , having touched a

seven-week low of $1.1036 on Thursday. The currency flirted with

five-week low against the British pound EURGBP=D4 and 33-month

low against the Swiss franc EURCHF= .

The ECB launched a broad review of its policy, seeking to

redefine its main goal and how to achieve it, as years of the

central bank's experiment with negative interest rates and

quantitative easing have failed to deliver targeted inflation

levels.

ECB President Christine Lagarde told a news conference that

risks to growth in the euro zone remained tilted to the downside

and traders took her overall tone as dovish.

"Some people were hoping that Lagarde could talk about the

possibility of policy normalisation after Riksbank ended

negative interest rates late last year. But there was absolutely

no such indication from her," said Kazushige Kaida, head of

foreign exchange at State Street Bank.

Riksbank, the central bank of Sweden, ended five years of

negative interest rates last month, despite a slowdown in the

Swedish economy, a decision which many investors thought was

made to allay concerns about side-effects such as housing bubble

damages to pension funds. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from Germany and the

euro zone due later on Friday is the next focus for the

currency.

The common currency was also undermined by the coronavirus

threat in China because some countries in the bloc, notably

Germany, have big trade exposures to the Asian economic giant.

Concerns about the spread of the new disease bolstered the

yen, which traded at 109.45 yen to the dollar JPY= , having

risen to a two-week high of 109.26 on Thursday.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) said on Thursday it was

"a bit too early" to declare the new virus a global health

emergency, providing financial markets with some relief.

Yet many investors were anxious as the epidemic spreads

within China, killing 25 people in China and infecting more than

800. "The Lunar New Year holiday in China has just begun and they

say the virus could be latent for about a week. So at least for

the next couple of weeks it will be difficult to gauge how much

the new disease will have spread," said Shinichiro Kadota,

senior FX strategist at Barclays.

"That suggests the yen is likely to have a strengthening

bias during this period," he added.

Chinese financial markets will be closed through Thursday.

Many other markets in the region will be shut on Monday.

The offshore yuan was little changed at 6.9275 per dollar

CNH=D4 , after touching a two-week low of 6.9423 on Thursday.

The Australian dollar fetched $0.6843 AUD=D4 , having

erased all of the gains made after a firm payrolls figure the

previous day, and was on track for a fourth consecutive week of

losses.

Elsewhere, sterling traded at $1.3121 GBP=D4 , little

changed on the day but up 0.9% so far this week as solid UK

economic data prompted traders to wind back expectations of a

rate cut by the Bank of England at its policy meeting next week.

UK PMI data, due at 9:30 a.m. local time (0930GMT) on

Friday, will be closely watched for any clues on the BoE's next

policy decision on Jan. 30.

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