FOREX-Euro steady; U.S. dollar set for worst week since October

Published 06/12/2019, 12:05
Updated 06/12/2019, 12:09
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro steady; U.S. dollar set for worst week since October
DXY
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* Dollar falls to one-month low vs basket of currencies

* New Zealand dollar surges to four-month high

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Updates prices, adds fresh comment)

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Dec 6 (Reuters) - The euro was steady on Friday

against the dollar, which was headed for its worst week since

mid-October by concern over U.S.-China trade relations and hints

of weakness in the U.S. economy.

New Zealand's kiwi rebounded amid renewed risk appetite and

encouraging domestic factors.

Against a basket of six currencies, the dollar fell to a

one-month low of 97.355 .DXY , but was last flat at 97.424. The

euro was little changed at $1.1102 EUR=EBS .

Sterling was 0.2% weaker at $1.3129 GBP=D3 and down 0.1%

against the euro at 84.49 pence EURGBP=D3 , but close to a

two-and-a-half-year high as traders grew more confident

uncertainty over Brexit would end soon.

U.S. President Donald Trump said U.S.-China trade talks were

"moving right along" and that "we'll have to see" about an

increase in tariffs due next week.

"The U.S. market is concerned about the Dec. 15 tariffs

being enacted, but I don't think this is going to happen before

the end of the year," said Shannon Saccocia, chief investment

officer at Boston Private, adding she has not made any

investment decisions that implied the tariffs will be

implemented.

But markets were unconvinced, with worries stemming from a

lack of similar enthusiasm from China, keeping the dollar

subdued. Chinese officials reiterated that some U.S. tariffs

must be rolled back for a deal to end the 17-month trade war,

something Washington has given no sign of doing. Risk sentiment recovered, pushing the New Zealand dollar to

a four-month high of 0.6569 against the U.S. dollar NZD=D3 .

"My guess – and it's just a guess – is that the rally in NZD

may have started with a recovery in risk sentiment" driven by

Trump's comments, said Marshall Gittler, strategist at ACLS

Global.

The currency also got a boost from Reserve Bank of New

Zealand Deputy Governor Geoff Bascand, who said in a Bloomberg

interview economic developments are "supportive of the story

that we're near or around that turning point" in the economic

cycle, Gittler said.

U.S. non-farm payrolls data due at 1330 GMT comes after

dismal numbers showed weak private payrolls, soft services

activity and a shrinking manufacturing sector.

A Reuters poll shows a forecast of 180,000 jobs being added

in November. Anything short of that might leave the Federal

Reserve reconsidering its wait-and-see mode when it meets on

Tuesday and Wednesday.

"There is a greater potential for an exaggerated move if we

see a big divergence from expectations," said Michael McCarthy,

chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney. "The risk is

in both directions ... below 150,000 or above 210,000, we could

see a significant market reaction."

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