FOREX-Euro struggles near 3-year low as traders fret about economic slowdown

Published 17/02/2020, 12:46
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro struggles near 3-year low as traders fret about economic slowdown
EUR/USD
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DXY
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* Euro near 33-month low as growth stagnates

* Dollar holds recent gains; quiet start to shortened week

* Yen shows limited response to poor Japanese GDP data

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds new quotes, details, latest FX prices)

LONDON, Feb 17 (Reuters) - The euro struggled near 3-year

lows on Monday as investors worried about weakening growth in

the region, while Chinese efforts to limit the damage from a

coronavirus outbreak appeared to calm markets, with the yuan and

Australian dollar gaining.

Monday is light on economic data but traders are looking to

a German business sentiment indicator due on Tuesday and

purchasing managers index flash data on Friday for further

evidence on the state of the euro zone economy.

Last week data showed in particular that momentum in

Germany, the region's powerhouse economy, was struggling.

"EUR/USD seems to be comfortably trading around its new lows

and in the next few days we expect to see a continuation in the

recent downtrend rather than any clear rebound," said ING

analysts.

"The fears around the coronavirus impact on the Eurozone

economy remain well in place while data this week should be in

line with latest releases in providing a non-encouraging

picture."

The euro nudged higher to $1.0845 EUR=EBS in early trading

but had earlier touched $1.0817, its weakest since mid-2017.

The currency has lost 2.3% of its value against the dollar

so far in February.

Kit Juckes, an analyst at Societe Generale, said that while

data shows that the market is building a short euro position,

"it remains a long way from its peaks". was a quiet start to the week elsewhere, with much of the

United States off for a public holiday.

The yen was unfazed by weak economic growth data in Japan.

It traded down 0.1% at 109.84 yen per dollar JPY=EBS .

Japan, the world's third-largest economy, shrank 1.6% in the

three months to December, the largest drop in six years, hit by

a sales tax hike. With growth faltering in the euro zone and Japan, most

market players expect the U.S. economy to remain stronger among

its developed world peers, although retail sales and industrial

production numbers on Friday were disappointing. The dollar index .DXY stood at 99.095, near Friday's

4-1/2-month high of 99.241.

The Australian dollar strengthened as investors assessed the

latest reading on the coronavirus in China, where the number of

cases rose but new deaths dropped. The Australian dollar, used as a proxy for risk on Chinese

assets, rose 0.1% to $0.6724 AUD=D3 . The currency has partly

been supported by expectations of stimulus from Beijing.

The offshore Chinese yuan CNH=EBS gained 0.2% to 6.9815

per dollar.

Some analysts think the market may be underestimating the

hit from the coronavirus on both China's economy and on growth

in the rest of the world, especially Asia.

"For China, our new base case is 3.0% GDP growth in Q1, with

the risk firmly skewed to an even lower number - too much damage

has already been done and initial policy stimulus will not be

very effective," Nomura strategists said in a research note.

Sterling slipped 0.2% to $1.3015 GBP=D3 , reversing some of

its gains last week when the appointment of a new British

finance minister raised expectations that the government would

significantly lift public spending in next month's budget.

Euro vs U.S. dollar https://tmsnrt.rs/323hLUP

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