FOREX-Euro tests highs before Trump's press conference on China

Published 29/05/2020, 11:51

(Adds quotes, new benchmarks)
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
* Trump plans China news conference for Friday
* Offshore yuan fairly stable
* Euro set for second weeks of gains

By Julien Ponthus
LONDON, May 29 (Reuters) - The euro extended its gains,
testing two-month highs, on Friday as traders waited for U.S.
President Donald Trump's response to China's tightening control
over Hong Kong, which could worsen tensions between the two over
the financial hub.
Earlier, the yen rose against major currencies as investors
looked for safe havens before Trump's response to China's
passing of a national security law for Hong Kong
"I think the market is still fearful that it might escalate
into something more serious. If he was serious with trade
tariffs, that would have a meaningful impact", said Moh Siong
Sim, a currency strategist at Bank of Singapore.
"You can never quite predict Trump. But I think this year
it's really difficult for him to do tough action", he added,
referring to the dire state of the U.S. economy.
Offshore, the yuan CNH=EBS edged up 0.17% and traded at
7.1586 per dollar, not far from the nine-month low of 7.1965
yuan per dollar reached on Wednesday.
The euro, which got a boost from the European Commission's
stimulus plan announced earlier this week, rose 0.6% to $1.1140
EUR=EBS , just beneath the 1.1148 reached on March 30. Going
over that level would take the currency to its highest since
March 17.
The euro rose as data showed that euro inflation continued
to slow on crashing oil prices but underlying price growth held
steady, a hopeful sign for European Central Bank policymakers
trying to stave off deflation.
The euro was headed for its second weekly gain and its
fourth day up after the 750 billion-euro coronavirus recovery
fund fuelled optimism about the euro zone economy.
"The European stimulus fund is perhaps the real driver of
the common currency as it gives hope of a more functional future
for the European Union and for the euro in particular", wrote
ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista.
Euro-dollar one-month risk reversals EUR1MRR=FN also
showed that the cost of betting on a euro upside versus the
dollar in options markets is now more expensive than betting on
a euro weakness.
Elsewhere, the dollar fell 0.4% against the Japanese
currency JPY=EBS at 107.16 yen.

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