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FOREX-Euro weakens, dollar rises as market awaits Fed's Powell

Published 23/08/2019, 08:53
FOREX-Euro weakens, dollar rises as market awaits Fed's Powell
EUR/USD
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DXY
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USD/CNH
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* New Zealand dollar gains as rates views shift

* Pound gives back some gains, but stays above $1.22

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Olga Cotaga

Aug 23 (Reuters) - The euro edged lower and the dollar

strengthened broadly on Friday, awaiting a keynote speech by the

head of the Federal Reserve after some of his fellow

policymakers signalled reluctance to cut U.S. interest rates

further.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to address the

Jackson Hole symposium of central bankers at 1400 GMT, and

traders will be keen to see how closely he allies himself with

the hawkish camp.

Currency markets have in recent months been driven by global

central banks' shift to more accommodative policy settings as

economic demand slows and trade disputes intensify.

Expectations that the Fed will cut rates at its next meeting

in September are still very high, according to interest rate

futures, but the currency market is likely to react if the tone

of Powell's comments does not match these dovish expectations,

analysts said.

"I would expect him to stress that the U.S. economy is

strong enough that...just a rate cut or two, taken out as

'insurance', will be enough to keep the recovery on track," said

Marshall Gittler, chief strategist at ACLS Global.

"That's probably more hawkish than what the market is

expecting and could be positive for the dollar."

The euro was down 0.1% at $1.1067 after falling to a

three-week low of $1.1061 earlier EUR=EBS . The index which

tracks the dollar against six major currencies .DXY was up by

0.2% at 98.35.

The euro attempted to stage a relief rally the day before

following the stronger-than-expected euro zone purchasing

managers' surveys for August, but the gains proved short-lived.

The PMIs will keep "pressure on the European Central Bank to

deliver further stimulus to support growth" in the euro area

because "surveys remain consistent with weak growth continuing

in the third quarter," said Lee Hardman, currency analyst at

MUFG.

Views that rates may not go as low as previously expected

also bolstered the New Zealand dollar after its central bank

chief said he was "pleased" with where interest rates were.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Adrian Orr told

Bloomberg TV he could afford to pause on monetary policy after

50-basis-point cut this month. The New Zealand dollar jumped from a three and-a-half-year

low of $0.6362 reached Thursday, trading up 0.4% at $0.6387

NZD=D3 .

China's offshore yuan stabilized at 7.0920 CNH=EBS after

dropping to an 11-day low of 7.1072 overnight as the People's

Bank of China lowered its official yuan midpoint to an 11-year

low. Still, the move was limited given that the set rate was

nowhere near the lows traders were expecting.

The pound gave back some of the gains it made on Thursday on

the back of German Chancellor Angela Merkel giving Britain 30

days to come up with a Brexit plan, dropping 0.4% to $1.2208

GBP=D3 . Against the euro, it fell 0.3% at 90.66 pence

EURGBP=D3 .

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