FOREX-Pound powers higher as expected Tory win clears Brexit doubts

Published 13/12/2019, 04:07
© Reuters.  FOREX-Pound powers higher as expected Tory win clears Brexit doubts
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Result of British general election may ease concern about

Brexit

* U.S.-China trade deal boosts yuan

* Safe-haven yen weakens on trade news

* Traders brace for wild ride in financial markets

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Dec 13 (Reuters) - The pound hit multi-year highs

against peers on Friday as early UK election results pointed to

a convincing Conservative win, which is expected to clear the

Brexit political gridlock that has hounded Britain's markets for

years.

The lifting of one major cloud hanging over currency markets

came amid signs another might be clearing with reports of a

breakthrough in Sino-U.S. trade negotiations pushing the Chinese

yuan to a four-month top and nudging the Australian and New

Zealand dollars higher.

The early UK poll results suggest the election will relieve

almost four years of uncertainty about when Brexit would take

place. "We've already seen a strong reaction in the pound from the

exit poll," said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at

CMC Markets in Sydney.

"We also see a rise in stock futures in reaction to two very

important pieces of news for markets. This should support global

growth. The yuan can also go higher, but it depends on how much

dollar strength we get."

Against the euro, sterling EURGBP=D3 rose around 2% to as

high as 82.80 pence, the highest since July 2016, which is

shortly after the Brexit referendum that hammered the currency.

The pound GBP=D3 surged more than 2% to reach $1.3516, the

highest since May 2018, before settling at $1.3482.

Sterling had plunged more than 10% in the immediate

aftermath of Britain's vote to leave the European Union in June

2016, while $2 trillion was wiped off world markets.

The exit poll, which suggested UK Prime Minister Boris

Johnson would get a majority of 86 - the largest of any

Conservative leader since Margaret Thatcher won in the 1980s -

should empower him to deliver Brexit on Jan. 31.

However, even if Brexit is completed on Jan. 31, there is

still some uncertainty because Britain will then enter a

transition period during which it will negotiate a new

relationship with the remaining 27 EU states.

In Asian currencies, the yuan gapped higher and the Japanese

yen fell after a source told Reuters that the United States and

China have agreed some tariff reductions and a delay in U.S.

tariffs on Chinese goods set to go effect on Dec. 15.

A successful scaling back of trade tension would relieve one

major headwind to global economic growth, which suggests lower

demand for the safe-haven yen. Avoiding new tariffs should also

be a boost to China's slowing economy, which should draw more

investors to the yuan.

In the onshore market, the Chinese yuan CNY=CFXS surged to

6.9570, the strongest level since Aug. 2.

In the offshore market, the yuan CNH=D3 pulled back

slightly to 6.9642 per dollar, after surging more than 1% on

Thursday to the highest since Aug. 1 due to relief about a

resolution to trade friction.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 rose 0.16% to $0.6923 after

briefly touching the highest since July. The New Zealand dollar

NZD=D3 also jumped to $0.6636 to reach the highest since July.

As part of the trade deal, China has also agreed to purchase

$50 billion of U.S. agricultural goods next year, sources

familiar with the talks told Reuters.

The yuan rallied and the yen fell sharply late on Thursday

after Bloomberg News reported that U.S. President Donald Trump

signed off on a trade deal with China that will delay a new

round of tariffs scheduled for Dec. 15. Talks between the world's two economic superpowers have been

fractious, so investors are focused on official confirmation of

the deal from both sides to be sure that an agreement is

actually in place.

The trade dispute between the United States and China over

Chinese trading practices has dragged on for almost two years,

and is one of the biggest risks to the global economy.

Against the dollar, the yen JPY=EBS fell to 109.595, the

weakest since Dec. 2.

The euro EUR=EBS rose 0.4% to $1.1177, slightly below its

highest since Aug. 13.

The common currency got a boost against the greenback after

the European Central Bank's new president, Christine Lagarde,

made upbeat comments about the euro zone economy in her first

press conference on Thursday. The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies fell 0.67% to 96.749, approaching the lowest since

July this year.

British general election https://tmsnrt.rs/2r0WtJp

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