FOREX-Safe-haven currencies stay in demand on China virus fears

Published 28/01/2020, 17:03
FOREX-Safe-haven currencies stay in demand on China virus fears
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(New throughout; changes dateline, previous LONDON)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Concerns about the economic

fallout from the coronavirus outbreak in China supported

safe-haven currencies on Tuesday, with the dollar index at a

two-month high and the Swiss franc at a nearly three-year peak

against the euro.

Though global markets had stabilized somewhat after Monday's

sell-off, risk aversion in currency markets persisted, with the

Australian dollar AUD= leading losers and the greenback

strengthening to an eight-week high against a basket of six

rivals .DXY .

The Japanese yen JPY= was off of Monday's high, last 0.26%

weaker at 109.17 per dollar.

"Risk-off positioning has cooled off, though investor

sentiment clearly remains wary, faced with the epistemological

"known unknown" conundrum of how bad and how widespread and how

economically damaging the coronavirus outbreak will be, wrote

analysts at Action Economics.

President Xi Jinping said on Tuesday that China was sure of

defeating the "devil" coronavirus that has killed 106 people.

Yet despite his confidence, international alarm has risen: From

France to Japan governments organized evacuations, while Hong

Kong planned to suspend rail and ferry links with the mainland.

The Swiss franc, a traditional safe-haven investment along

with the yen and the dollar, had strengthened to 1.067 francs

per euro EURCHF= , its highest since April 2017. It had

retraced some of those gains in North American trade, last 0.28%

weaker on the day at 1.071.

Global stock markets and oil prices have tumbled in recent

days on fears the virus could further damage China's already

weakened economy. That also briefly inverted the three-month,

10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve, considered a fairly reliable

recession predictor. MKTS/GLOB Still, currency moves were subdued, with the U.S. dollar

adding to previous gains ahead of the start of a two-day U.S.

Federal Reserve meeting later on Tuesday. Fed policymakers are

largely expected to reiterate that interest rates will remain on

hold this year. The dollar index was last up 0.19% at 98.137, its highest

since early December and taking its gains so far this month to

1.8%. Versus the euro, the dollar firmed 0.15% to an eight-week

high of $1.100 EUR= .

The Australian dollar, which is highly correlated to the

Chinese economy, earlier in the session hit a fresh 15-week low

and was last trading 0.15% weaker on the day at 0.675.

Stability in the offshore yuan, after a recent drop,

provided some calm to nervous currency markets. The Chinese

currency firmed 0.19% versus the dollar CNH= , rising off

three-week lows.

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