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FOREX-Safe-haven demand cools as virus fears wane; dollar still bid

Published 28/01/2020, 21:56
© Reuters.  FOREX-Safe-haven demand cools as virus fears wane; dollar still bid
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(New throughout)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Jan 28 (Reuters) - The Japanese yen and Swiss

franc eased off earlier highs as fears about the economic

fallout from the coronavirus outbreak in China waned, though the

dollar index held near two-month highs.

Global markets had stabilized somewhat after a risk sell-off

which ran from Monday through Tuesday morning. The Japanese yen

JPY= was last 0.22% weaker at 109.13 per dollar, having hit a

2-1/2-week high on Monday. The Swiss franc was 0.36% weaker

against the dollar CHF= , last at 0.973.

Earlier Tuesday the Swissie had strengthened to 1.067 francs

per euro EURCHF= , its highest since April 2017.

"If there's anything driving things, it seems just to be the

fading of concerns around the coronavirus. This is based on more

reports that the Chinese are clamping down," said Thierry

Wizman, global interest rates and currencies strategist at

Macquarie Group.

President Xi Jinping said on Tuesday that China was sure of

defeating the "devil" coronavirus, which has killed 106 people.

Yet despite his confidence, international alarm has risen: From

France to Japan governments organized evacuations, while Hong

Kong planned to suspend rail and ferry links with the mainland.

Global stock markets and oil prices have tumbled in recent

days on fears the virus could further damage China's already

weakened economy. That also briefly inverted the three-month,

10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve, considered a fairly reliable

recession predictor. MKTS/GLOB By Tuesday afternoon, however, U.S. stocks and Treasuries

yields had turned around and the offshore yuan CNH= saw some

relief. The Chinese currency firmed 0.24% versus the dollar

CNH= , rising off three-week lows.

The dollar index .DXY , another safe-haven asset, was

slightly off the two-month high hit earlier in the day, but

remained in demand on Tuesday afternoon. It was last trading up

0.4% on the day at 97.995.

"With much of Asia closed, I think maybe foreigners are

feeling like the only way they can get exposure to global stock

markets in view of the better news on the virus is simply to buy

the U.S. market because China is closed, Hong Kong is closed.

Maybe that's why the dollar is stronger. If that's the case,

then that would reverse at the time that the other markets open

up again for trading," said Wizman.

The Federal Reserve began a two-day policy meeting on

Tuesday, at which it is largely expected to reiterate that

interest rates will remain on hold this year.

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