FOREX-Sterling holds gains near 5-month top on Brexit deal, but hurdles remain

Published 18/10/2019, 01:27
© Reuters.  FOREX-Sterling holds gains near 5-month top on Brexit deal, but hurdles remain

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Sterling on the up after new Brexit deal reached

* British PM still needs to get deal through parliament

* Yuan in focus before China GDP as trade war bites

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The British pound traded near a

five-month high against the dollar and the euro after British

Prime Minister Boris Johnson and European Union leaders agreed a

new deal for Britain to exit the bloc.

Sterling's gains on the dollar helped push the greenback to

a five-month low versus the euro and a three-week low against

the Swiss franc.

The yuan held steady against the dollar in offshore trade

before the release of China's GDP data. Economists have forecast

the economy will grow at the weakest pace in more than 27 years

in the third quarter due to a costly trade war with the United

States.

The initial relief at securing the long-awaited Brexit deal

could be brief, however, because the prime minister still needs

to sell the agreement to sceptical lawmakers when parliament

sits on Saturday. Once Britain does leave the EU, its economic growth is

expected to slow, which is likely to be a negative for sterling

in the longer term, analysts warn. []nL5N27262N]

"Assuming we clear the parliamentary hurdle, the pound has

room to rise further because there are a lot of shorts to be

unwound," said Takuya Kanda, general manager of the research

department at Gaitame.com Research Institute in Tokyo.

"But after that, people will start to question whether this

is really good for Britain's economy, and further gains in

sterling could become difficult."

The pound GBP=D3 traded at $1.2870 in Asia on Friday,

close to a five-month high of $1.2988 reached on Thursday after

EU leaders unanimously backed the new Brexit deal with Britain.

Against the euro EURGBP=D3 , sterling traded at 86.42

pence, near a five-month high of 85.77 pence.

For the week, the pound was on course for a 1.7% gain versus

the dollar and a 0.9% increase against the common currency.

Britain's new Brexit deal has a "decent chance" of clearing

parliament on Saturday, finance minister Sajid Javid said, but

some investors are wary because debate so far on Brexit has been

fractious and difficult to predict.

Even if Johnson can win approval in parliament, Britain is

still on course for more distant economic ties and increased

trade barriers with the EU, which many economists say will slow

growth in the UK.

For now, sterling's gains and worries about weak U.S.

economic data are pushing the greenback lower against other

currencies.

The dollar traded at 0.9875 Swiss franc CHF=EBS , close to

the lowest since Sept. 25 and on course for its biggest weekly

decline since Aug. 9.

The dollar JPY=EBS was quoted at 108.57 yen, headed for

its second week of gains.

In offshore trade, the yuan CNH=D3 traded at 7.0815 per

dollar.

China is expected to post its weakest economic growth in at

least 27-1/2 years in the third quarter when Beijing releases

gross domestic product data at 0200 GMT.

Downbeat data in recent months has highlighted weaker demand

at home and abroad, fanning expectations that Beijing will need

new measures to ward off a sharper slowdown due to a year-long

trade war with the United States.

The world's two-largest economies have imposed tariffs on

each other's goods in a dispute over China's trade and

industrial policies that has slammed the brakes on global

economic growth.

Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

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