FOREX-Swedish crown soars on rate hike bets, dollar climbs before trade deadline

Published 11/12/2019, 12:40
Updated 11/12/2019, 12:45
FOREX-Swedish crown soars on rate hike bets, dollar climbs before trade deadline
DXY
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* Markets wait for Fed, ECB meetings, trade deadline

* Swedish crown surges on inflation surprise

* HK dlr hits highest since July as carry trades unwound

* Sterling stung by latest UK election poll

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds new quote, details, latest prices)

By Tommy Reggiori Wilkes

LONDON, Dec 11 (Reuters) - Sweden's crown jumped to 8-month

highs on Wednesday after strong inflation made it highly likely

the country would end negative interest rates, while broader FX

markets were quiet before central bank meetings and a U.S.-China

trade deadline.

The crown was the standout performer, hitting its strongest

since April against the euro and since July versus the dollar

after the pace of inflation in November picked up by more than

expected. "This obviously supports the Riksbank case of the well

anticipated rate hike despite virtually all other data working

against the Riksbank's own economic outlook," said Olle

Holmgren, an economist at SEB.

The euro was last down 0.8% against the crown at 10.454

EURSEK=D3 , leaving the Swedish currency at its strongest since

late April.

The dollar dropped 0.6% to 9.432 crowns per euro SEK=D3 ,

its weakest since July.

In another notable move, the Hong Kong dollar rallied to its

strongest level since July 24, which analysts attributed to the

unwinding of bets previously profiting from "carry trades" -

borrowing with low interest rates in Hong Kong to purchase U.S.

dollar assets.

The Hong Kong dollar was 0.2% higher at 7.8105 HKD=D3 .

The U.S. dollar clawed higher as investors awaited the

outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting and drew some support

from hopes that U.S. President Donald Trump will delay the

imposition of more tariffs on Chinese goods.

The British pound recovered most of its losses touched off

by a poll showing the ruling Conservative Party's lead narrowing

in Thursday's general election.

FX markets more broadly struggled for direction with

investors awaiting the Fed, UK election, a European Central Bank

meeting on Thursday and the Dec. 15 trade deadline.

The dollar rose 0.1% against a basket of currencies .DXY

and 0.1% versus the euro to $1.1081 EUR=EBS , helped by a Wall

Street Journal report of officials from both the United States

and China saying the groundwork was being laid to push back the

tariff deadline. "The trade negotiations will be key. You could argue there

is a degree of complacency here," said Neil Mellor, an FX

analyst at BNY Mellon.

Mellor said he thought the Federal Reserve meeting would be

a "damp squib", while Christine Lagarde's first policy meeting

at ECB chief was unlikely to produce any fireworks.

Economic uncertainty stemming from the U.S.-China trade war

has prompted the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut interest rates

three times this year. It is almost unanimously expected to

leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday. Sterling's recent rally came to a halt after the latest

polling data. The pound fell to as low as $1.3107 GBP=D3 but

was last at $1.3154, flat on the day. The dollar was down marginally against the Japanese yen at

108.67 JPY=EBS

Euro vs Swedish crown https://tmsnrt.rs/2PdkA0S

U.S. dollar vs Hong Kong dollar https://tmsnrt.rs/38uoolK

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