FOREX-Swiss franc extends fall as markets eye U.S.-China trade deal

Published 28/10/2019, 13:19
FOREX-Swiss franc extends fall as markets eye U.S.-China trade deal

* Dollar flat ahead of Fed meeting on Wednesday

* Pound unchanged by Brexit extension to Jan 31. 2020

* Swiss franc weakens, Australian and Canadian dollars rally

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Updates prices, adds Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, Tusk)

By Elizabeth Howcroft

Oct 28 (Reuters) - The Swiss franc weakened broadly against

its rivals on Monday, extending its week-long losing streak,

while the Australian and Canadian dollars gained as hopes of a

Sino-American trade deal encouraged a move away from perceived

safe-haven assets.

In a further sign of improving risk appetite, the Canadian

dollar, a barometer of sentiment towards global trade,

strengthened to a three-month high versus the greenback

CAD=D3 .

"Positive trade headlines continue to support our view that

trade tensions are easing," said Win Thin, global head of FX

strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman.

"We believe there is a high probability of some trade deal

being signed next month, including lowering of existing

tariffs."

The franc's weakness, though broad-based, was most

pronounced against the trade-oriented currencies such as the

Australian dollar, against which it fell 0.3% to a near

five-month high.

FRAGILE DOLLAR

The greenback was on the back foot on Monday after notching

up a 0.5% rise last week news on Saturday that the U.S. and

China are "close to finalizing" some parts of a trade agreement.

It was down 0.1% on Monday at 97.76.

In another sign of waning dollar bullishness, speculators

cut their long-held long dollar positions against a broad basket

of its rivals including some emerging market currencies to

$15.31 billion as of Oct. 22, versus $20.79 billion the previous

week, according to calculations by Reuters and the U.S.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

This is the smallest long position since Sept. 17.

Investors are focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting on

Wednesday, when policymakers are expected to cut interest rates

- a move which is already priced in though Fed watchers will be

waiting for clues on the future policy outlook.

"There's still an awful lot of discrepancy and uncertainty

in the markets as to what the Fed will do next year," said Jane

Foley, senior FX strategist at Rabobank, adding that "the market

will be looking for clues as to which way that might go".

MUFG currency analyst Lee Hardman expects October's rate cut

to be the last one for 2019.

The euro was broadly firmer, up 0.1% against the dollar

EUR=EBS and 0.2% against the yen EURJPY=EBS , while the pound

was unchanged after European Council President Donald Tusk's

announcement that EU leaders agreed to accept the UK's request

for a Brexit extension until Jan. 31 2020 GBP=D3 . "The outlook for the euro has improved along with

expectations for a trade deal and a Brexit deal," Foley said,

noting that a Brexit deal would be not only good for both the UK

and eurozone economy.

In a busy week for central banks, investors will also watch

the Bank of Japan's policy decision on Thursday, which is

expected to be a close call on whether to unleash more stimulus

or hold fire for now

USd long positions https://tmsnrt.rs/2NgAIfG

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.