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FOREX-Yen bounces as vaccine boost fades, economic pressure builds

Published 13/11/2020, 06:41
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
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* Yen recoups some vaccine losses, still tracks for weekly
loss
* Vaccine fails to lift risky currencies as caution weighs
* Dollar index up 0.7% this week
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook
SYDNEY, Nov 13 (Reuters) - The Japanese yen edged higher on
Friday as investors crept back to the safe-haven currency,
worried about the economic damage of a trying winter in Europe
and the United States as COVID-19 cases continue to surge.
The yen JPY= rose 0.2% to 104.90 per dollar in the Asia
session, its highest since Monday when it tumbled after Pfizer
announced that it had developed a working virus vaccine.
The yen remains down by about 1.5% against the dollar this
week, its sharpest weekly drop in five months, and softer on
most crosses. But the bounce from its lows - along with softness
in riskier currencies - shows plenty of caution remains.
"There are reasons to be optimistic about the global
economic recovery, and eventual pandemic submission over the
coming year, but we are not out woods yet," said National
Australia bank's senior currency strategist Rodrigo Catril.
"The Aussie continues to find the air thinning above 73
cents."
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar AUD=D3 stabilised
around $0.7230 in Asia, pulling back from a small dip as Edison
Research projected U.S. President-elect Joe Biden will win the
battleground state of Arizona - cementing his winning margin.
The Aussie is on track for a small weekly loss. AUD/
The kiwi NZD=D3 was down 0.2% at $0.6824 though is headed
for a weekly gain of 0.7% as investors reckon economic
improvements have reduced the chance of negative rates.
The euro EUR= rose marginally overnight to clamber back
over $1.18, but it is down about 0.6% for the week so far,
helping the dollar index =USD to a 0.7% weekly rise.
The Chinese yuan CNY= was marginally weaker at 6.6219 per
dollar.
In Europe and the United States, a second wave of infections
has prompted the re-imposition of social restrictions to stop
the virus' spread. That will have markets discounting any good
news in eurozone growth numbers due later on Friday.
"The GDP report will have minimal impact on the euro with
analysts, including ourselves, now widely expecting a double-dip
recession in the euro zone starting in the fourth quarter," said
Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Kim Mundy in a note.
Central bank chiefs likewise warned that the crisis has some
way to run.
Despite Pfizer's announcement this week that trials have
showed the vaccine it developed with Germany's BioNTech seems to
work, a jump to mass vaccinations faces many
hurdles.
"From a huge river of uncertainty, we see the other side
now," said European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde in
a panel discussion with U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey.
"But I don't want to be exuberant about this vaccination
because there is still uncertainty," she said, about its
production and distribution.

========================================================
Currency bid prices at 4:19PM in Sydney(0519 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.1805 $1.1804 +0.00% +5.29% +1.1814 +1.1800
Dollar/Yen JPY=D3 104.9100 105.1050 -0.17% -3.39% +105.1200 +104.8850
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 123.85 124.11 -0.21% +1.56% +124.1400 +123.8000
Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.9148 0.9152 -0.03% -5.45% +0.9151 +0.9140
Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 1.3122 1.3124 -0.02% -1.07% +1.3125 +1.3112
Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.3161 1.3145 +0.13% +1.32% +1.3170 +1.3135
Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 0.7230 0.7233 -0.03% +3.06% +0.7242 +0.7222
NZ NZD=D3 0.6824 0.6839 -0.22% +1.41% +0.6843 +0.6815
Dollar/Dollar


All spots FX=
Tokyo spots AFX=
Europe spots EFX=
Volatilities FXVOL=
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

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