FOREX-Yen gains, yuan down as trade woes, Hong Kong strife sap risk appetite

Published 21/11/2019, 04:08
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen gains, yuan down as trade woes, Hong Kong strife sap risk appetite
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Prolonged U.S.-China trade war boosts safe-havens

* Traders worry about U.S.-China relations

* Yuan eases slightly in offshore trade

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Nov 21 (Reuters) - The yen rose against the dollar on

Thursday after sources close to the White House told Reuters

that a U.S.-China trade deal is unlikely this year, shattering

investor hopes a partial agreement was imminent and spurring

demand for safe havens.

The yuan fell to a three-week low in onshore trade on

worries the failure to reach a deal to roll back U.S. tariffs

could further harm China's stuttering economy.

Political tensions between Beijing and Washington were also

keeping investors on edge after a source told Reuters that U.S.

President Donald Trump is expected to sign into law two bills

intended to support anti-government protesters in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong has been rocked by months of increasingly violent

protest against Chinese rule of the former British colony. The

passage of a U.S. law supporting the protesters is bound to

anger Beijing and potentially undermine efforts to secure a

trade deal.

"Friction between the United States and China is starting to

spread from trade to questions about China's human rights," said

Tsutomu Soma, general manager of fixed income business solutions

at SBI Securities Co in Tokyo.

"This is the perfect opportunity to book some profits and

unwind some risk-on trades, which is supportive for the yen and

government bonds."

The yen JPY=EBS rose 0.15% to 108.46 per dollar on

Thursday.

The Japanese currency briefly pared gains after Bloomberg

reported Chinese Vice Premier Liu He as saying he is cautiously

optimistic about a preliminary trade deal. Markets, however,

turned around again when it became clear the comments were made

on Wednesday night in Beijing.

The dollar was steady at $1.1077 versus the euro EUR=EBS

and was quoted at $1.2931 against the British pound GBP=D3 .

Completion of a "phase one" U.S.-China trade deal could

slide into next year, trade experts and people close to the

White House told Reuters on Wednesday, as Beijing presses for

more extensive tariff rollbacks, and the Trump administration

counters with heightened demands of its own. Trump and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in an

Oct. 11 news conference that an initial trade deal could take as

long as five weeks to ink.

Just over five weeks later, a deal is still elusive, and

negotiations may be getting more complicated, trade experts and

people briefed on the talks told Reuters.

Washington and Beijing have imposed tariffs on each other's

goods in a bitter dispute over Chinese trade practices that the

U.S. government says are unfair.

The tariffs have slowed global trade, raised the risk of

recession for some economies, and roiled financial markets.

The next date to watch is Dec. 15, when U.S. tariffs on some

$156 billion in Chinese goods are scheduled to take effect.

Spot gold XAU= , which like the yen is often bought as a

safe-haven during times of uncertainty, tacked on 0.1% to

$1,473.93 per ounce, underlining investors' reluctance to take

on risk.

In the onshore market, the yuan CNY=CFXS fell to 7.0450

versus the dollar, the weakest since Nov. 1, before steadying at

7.0400. Offshore, the yuan CNH=D3 slipped to 7.0533 per

dollar, the lowest since Nov. 5, and then pared its losses.

Besides the tariff row, Hong Kong has emerged as another

flashpoint that some traders say could further worsen U.S.-China

relations.

What started as a protest against a proposed China

extradition bill has widened into almost daily battles with the

Hong Kong police over a perceived erosion of liberties under

Chinese rule. The police have come under criticism after one

protestor was shot at close range.

Beijing denies meddling in Hong Kong's affairs and blames

foreign governments for fuelling the unrest.

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