FOREX-Yen sags as prospects for U.S.-China trade deal looking good

Published 26/12/2019, 07:20
FOREX-Yen sags as prospects for U.S.-China trade deal looking good
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USD/JPY
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* Dollar/yen rises near 6-month high; Aussie, kiwi supported

* China says in talks with Washington over deal ceremony

* Dollar/yuan falls below 7

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Dec 26 (Reuters) - The dollar edged up slightly

against the yen while risk-sensitive currencies held firm on

Thursday, buoyed by optimism of easing trade tensions between

the United States and China and signs of recovering global

growth.

Beijing said on Wednesday it is in close touch with

Washington on a trade deal signing ceremony, a day after U.S.

President Donald Trump said that he and Chinese President Xi

Jinping will have a ceremony to sign the recently struck trade

deal.

"There have been some doubts over whether they can really

sign a deal. But this week China has announced cuts in its

tariffs while Trump also talked about a ceremony for the deal.

So it feels more likely that the deal will come through," said

Ei Kaku, currency strategist at Nomura Securities.

Against the yen, the dollar rose 0.2% to 109.54 yen JPY=

and within striking distance of a six-month high of 109.73

touched earlier this month. The euro barely moved at $1.10905

EUR= .

The Australian dollar held firm at $0.6927 AUD=D4 , a shade

below its four-month peak of $0.6939 touched earlier this month

while the kiwi traded at $0.6648 NZD=D4 , near its highest

level in five months.

Global currency markets remained in holiday mood following

Christmas Day on Wednesday and with several centres still closed

on Thursday.

However, traders have taken a positive lead after Washington

and Beijing struck an interim agreement on trade earlier this

month, which is expected to continue to underpin risk assets.

Surveys on manufacturing activity in many countries have

also shown signs of a bottoming out in recent months.

In currency markets, stronger risk appetite usually

translates to more selling in safe-haven currencies, such as the

yen, against currencies leveraged more to growth, particularly

that in China, such as the Australian dollar.

"While global share prices have been rallying, the currency

market has seen limited reaction so far but I think currencies

will have a catch-up to do," said Koichi Kobayashi, chief

manager of forex at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Bank.

The offshore yuan strengthened slightly to 6.9905 yuan per

dollar CNH= .

"I think it could reach the 6.8 handle when the deal is

officially signed," said Nomura's Kaku.

Also mildly supporting risk sentiment, a report by

Mastercard Inc MA.N showed on Wednesday that U.S. holiday

sales rose a brisk 3.4%, though it was short of a 5.1% increase

last year. Elsewhere, sterling traded at $1.2986 GBP=D4 , up a bit

from levels before the Christmas holidays though still way below

its Dec. 13 peak of $1.3516.

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