FOREX-Yen stands tall on global growth fears, cenbank easing weighs on peers

Published 08/08/2019, 02:16
Updated 08/08/2019, 02:20
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen stands tall on global growth fears, cenbank easing weighs on peers
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* Yen firm; growth woes, low yields and easing prospect dog
peers
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Shinichi Saoshiro
TOKYO, Aug 8 (Reuters) - The yen stood tall on Thursday,
after global central banks startled markets with heavy rate cuts
and threats of more to come as world economic risks grow,
boosting the appeal of the safe-haven Japanese currency.
The New Zealand and Australian dollars clawed back some of
their heavy losses from the previous session. On Wednesday, both
currencies tumbled after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand stunned
markets with a bigger than expected interest rate cut and
flagged the possibility of negative rates.
Broadening expectations of global monetary easing are now
weighing on currencies such as the dollar and the euro,
providing the yen with further support.
The yen JPY= was 0.15% firmer at 106.105 per dollar. It
touched 105.500 overnight, its strongest level since Jan. 3,
before pulling back slightly.
"The yen's appreciation versus the dollar may have slowed
for now, but it stands to keep gaining in the longer term," said
Junichi Ishikawa, senior FX strategist at IG Securities in
Tokyo. "Its other peers, notably the antipodean currencies, have
weakened severely and this provides overall support to the yen."
The New Zealand dollar NZDJPY= tumbled to a seven-year low
of 67.58 yen on Wednesday and was last at 68.44. The RBNZ's move
on Wednesday was followed by central banks in Thailand and India
signalling major concerns about the outlook of economic growth.
The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 traded at $0.6456, following
a slide to a 3-1/2-year low of $0.6378 on Wednesday.
The Australian dollar AUD=D3 was steady at $0.6761 after
hitting $0.6677 overnight, its lowest since March 2009, as
RBNZ's rate cut fuelled speculation that its Australian
counterpart would soon follow. The Aussie AUDJPY= was at 71.71
yen following a retreat to a decade-low of 70.74 yen on
Wednesday.
A growing list of central banks have eased monetary policy
in a bid to stave off negative effects of slowing global growth,
while plunging yields have driven currencies lower.
"The decline in Treasury yields sets dollar/yen firmly on
downward spiral as the market continues to price more Fed rate
cuts. The European Central Bank looks set to ease in September,
which will only support the yen even more," Ishikawa at IG
Securities said.
The euro EURJPY= traded at 118.92 yen after brushing a
28-month trough of 117.66 at the start of the week.
Interest rates futures suggested traders are building bets
the Federal Reserve would cut rates three more times by year-end
to avert a recession. In the wake of such speculation, the 10-year U.S. Treasury
yield US10YT=RR sank to a three-year low of 1.595% on
Wednesday.
The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major
currencies stood little changed at 97.587 after dipping 0.1%
overnight.
The index rose to a 27-month high of 98.932 just a week ago
after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ruled out lengthy monetary
easing, but it has since declined sharply on resurgent prospects
of more rate cuts. The euro EUR= nudged up 0.1% to $1.1211.
China's yuan CNH=D4 was a shade weaker at 7.0867 per
dollar in offshore trade, adding to the previous day's losses.
It was still off the record low of 7.1382 set on Tuesday.

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