FOREX-Yuan, Australian dollar struggle to wipe off coronavirus concerns

Published 22/01/2020, 04:24
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yuan, Australian dollar struggle to wipe off coronavirus concerns
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* Yuan, Aussie under pressure as investors assess health

threat

* 2002-3 SARS epidemic didn't have lasting market impact

-analyst

* Global impact could be bigger given China's growth since

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Jan 22 (Reuters) - The yuan dipped and the Australian

dollar hit a six-week low on Wednesday as investors feared the

outbreak of a new coronavirus in China could create more

headaches for the Chinese economy, which is already slowing

because of the U.S.-China trade war.

The virus, which causes a type of pneumonia, has spread to

cities including Beijing and Shanghai as the number of patients

in China more than tripled. More cases were also reported

outside China, including the United States. The yuan was steady after dipping earlier. It fell about

0.55% on Tuesday, its biggest decline in almost five months, in

the onshore trade. It last stood at 6.9063 per dollar

CNY=CFXS , almost flat on the day.

The Australian dollar, often used as a proxy bet on the

Chinese economy, fell to as low as $0.6827, a trough last seen

in mid-December, and last stood at $0.6837, down 0.13%.

The concerns surrounding the little-known virus propped up

the safe-haven yen, which was firm at 109.98 yen JPY= , up from

Tuesday's low of 110.23.

The newly-found virus evoked memories of the 2002/03

outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) in southern

China, which killed nearly 800 people globally and led to a

sharp downturn in tourism in Asia.

Some say the impact could be felt more severely this time

given the Chinese economy is now several times larger than it

was in 2002-03.

On the other hand, with limited information available on the

extent of the pandemic, market participants had little to chew

on for now.

"This is certainly something companies need to think about

for their contingency planning. But for financial markets, there

isn't much to make a thorough case for trading in either

direction given lack of further information," said Ayako Sera,

market economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank.

Tohru Sasaki, head of Japan market research at JPMorgan,

said that while the SARS outbreak caused a massive economic

downturn in Hong Kong and Singapore for about eight weeks

through a drop in tourism, the pandemic had limited impact on

supply chains in Asia.

"If the latest virus reaches a similar magnitude, some

economies such as Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia could be

negatively affected by a drop in tourism. But its long-term

impact on the global economy and the currency market will be

limited," he said.

The euro stood little changed at $1.1083 EUR= .

Sterling traded at $1.3040 GBP=D4 , having gained a tad on

Tuesday after data showed the British economy created jobs at

its strongest rate in nearly a year in the three months to

November. The strong data slightly dented expectations of an interest

rate cut by the Bank of England at the end of this month, though

markets are still pricing in about a 60% chance of a 0.25

percentage point cut.

As virus spreads to more Chinese cities, WHO calls emergency

meeting state man who traveled to China is first U.S. victim

of coronavirus jobs boom returns as Bank of England considers rate cut

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