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FOREX-Yuan hits 11-yr low, breaks 7 per dlr, as trade war intensifies

Published 05/08/2019, 06:55
Updated 05/08/2019, 07:00
FOREX-Yuan hits 11-yr low, breaks 7 per dlr, as trade war intensifies
XAU/USD
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GC
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US10YT=X
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* Yuan down over 1% on concerns about trade war impact
* Emerging market currencies hit hardest
* Aussie near January low, yen hits 7-month high
* Gold hits 6-year high, Swiss at 2-yr high vs euro
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Hideyuki Sano
TOKYO, Aug 5 (Reuters) - China's yuan tumbled more than 1%
to 11-year lows on Monday amid mounting fears over a sharp
escalation in the U.S.-China trade war, sparking a sell-off in
other currencies in the region.
Growing anxiety over trade saw investors rush into perceived
safe-haven assets, with the Japanese yen rising to a seven-month
peak against the dollar.
The yuan unexpectedly broke through the closely watched 7
per dollar mark for the first time since the global financial
crisis, a level some market players have regarded as major
support. It fell to as low as 7.1137 per dollar CNH= in
offshore trade and 7.0424 to the dollar CNY=CFXS onshore.
The move came just days after U.S. President Donald Trump
surprised markets by saying he would impose more tariffs on
Chinese imports.
"This could well be the biggest moment for the yuan this
year. The impact of U.S.-China trade is turning out to be very
big," said Masashi Hashimoto, senior currency analyst at MUFG
Bank.
The yuan last stood down 1.5% at 7.0839 offshore, and 1.3%
at 7.0319 onshore. It was the first time the yuan traded above 7
per dollar since May 2008.
The sharp fall came after Beijing vowed on Friday to fight
back against Trump's abrupt decision to slap 10% tariffs on the
remaining $300 billion in Chinese imports, a move that ended a
month-long trade truce. The slumping yuan knocked many currencies in the region.
The Australian dollar, often used as a proxy bet on China,
shed 0.35% to $0.6773 AUD=D4 , hitting a seven-month low of
$0.6748. The currency wasn't far off its Jan. 3 flash-crash low
of $0.6715.
Emerging market currencies took a deeper hit.
The Korean won fell 1%, hitting a three-year low of 1,218.3
per dollar KRW=KFCT while the new Taiwan dollar fell more than
0.7% to a two-month low of 31.627 to dollar TWD=TP .
The Mexican peso fell 1% to 19.507 to the dollar MXN=D4
while the Indian rupee fell 1.2% to 70.425 per dollar INR=D4 .
Domestic woes also added pressure on some currencies.
Diplomatic tensions between Japan and Korea weakened the won,
the Taiwan dollar softened after China restricted travel to the
island and the rupee was rattled by instabilities in Kashmir.
"Until late last month, people have thought trade talks
between the U.S. and China were going okay. But now we have
tariffs that would hit the economy while the Fed wasn't dovish
last week. So it is a double-whammy for emerging currencies,"
said Koichi Kobayashi, chief manager of forex at Mitsubishi
Trust and Banking.
The U.S. dollar was on the back foot against traditional
safe-haven currencies.
The dollar fell to as low as 105.80 yen JPY=EBS , its
weakest since its January flash-crash, and last stood at 106.07
yen, down 0.5%.
Gold also hit a six-year high of $1,456.2 per ounce XAU=
and last stood up 0.78% at $1,452.5.
The Swiss franc hit a two-year high against the euro,
fetching 1.0890 franc per euro EURCHF= , having gained 1.4%
over the past five sessions.
The common currency also rose 0.15% to $1.1122 EUR=EBS ,
extending its recovery from a two-year low of $1.1027 touched on
Thursday, as U.S. bond yields have plunged, reducing the
dollar's yield attraction.
The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield fell 7.5 basis points in
Asia to 1.780% US10YT=RR , on top of last week's 23 basis point
fall, the biggest weekly fall in seven years.
Fed funds futures prices are now pricing in a total of 0.75
basis points by March, with some chance of a 50 basis point cut
next month.
On Friday, the closely-watched U.S. employment data showed
nonfarm payrolls increased by 164,000 jobs in July, fewer than
the prior month, and wages increased modestly. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Jacqueline Wong & Kim Coghill)

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