FOREX-Yuan hits 3-week low, yen rises as China grapples with virus outbreak

Published 27/01/2020, 06:33
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yuan hits 3-week low, yen rises as China grapples with  virus outbreak
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* Currencies react early to worries about China virus

* Risk aversion supports safe-haven yen

* Investors trying to measure economic impact as virus

spreads

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Jan 27 (Reuters) - The yuan fell in offshore trade on

Monday to its lowest level in three weeks as the death toll in

China from the spread of a new coronavirus mounted, raising

worries authorities are struggling to contain the outbreak and

sparking a bout of risk aversion.

Japan's currency, often sought as a safe-haven in times of

uncertainty, initially jumped versus the dollar to the highest

since Jan. 8 before erasing some of those gains as investors

gauged public health officials' response to the virus.

China's cabinet announced it will extend the Lunar New Year

holidays to Feb. 2 to strengthen the prevention and control of

the new coronavirus, state broadcaster CCTV reported early on

Monday. The holidays had been due to end on Jan. 30.

Hong Kong has also banned the entry of visitors from China's

Hubei province, where coronavirus outbreak was first reported in

the city of Wuhan, underscoring the difficulty officials face

during a peak travel season. Health authorities around the world are racing to prevent a

pandemic of the virus, which has infected more than 2,000 people

in China and killed 80.

There are concerns that tourism and consumer spending could

take a hit if the virus spreads further, which would discourage

investors from taking on excessive risk.

"There is a lot of uncertainty about how much further the

virus will spread, and this is behind the moves in currencies,"

said Yukio Ishizuki, foreign exchange strategist at Daiwa

Securities in Tokyo.

"I thought dollar/yen would be supported at 109, but it

broke through that, so now the next target is 108.50. This

risk-off mood is likely to continue for a while."

In the offshore market, the yuan CNH=D3 was under

persistent pressure and slumped to 6.9776 per dollar, the

weakest since Jan. 6.

The yen JPY=EBS rose to 108.73 per dollar, its strongest

level since Jan. 8, before paring gains to trade up 0.16% at

109.09.

Japan's currency also jumped more than 0.5% versus the

Australian AUDJPY= and New Zealand dollars NZDJPY= as

worries about the virus drew traders toward safe-haven

currencies.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies was little changed at 97.881.

Traders said market moves could be exaggerated due to low

liquidity, because financial markets in China, Hong Kong,

Singapore, and Australia are closed for holidays.

The virus, which emerged late last year from illegally

traded wildlife at an animal market in the central Chinese city

of Wuhan, has spread to other countries, including Singapore,

South Korea, Canada, Japan, and the United States.

China's National Health Commision confirmed 80 deaths from

the coronavirus and 2,744 cases as of end of Sunday.

Big businesses across China are temporarily shutting stores

or advising staff to work from home. Companies are also offering

longer holidays, cancelling events, and imposing quarantine.

Singapore's government said on Monday the virus will hurt

its already wobbly economy, and is considering tax breaks for

the tourism sector and other firms. The outbreak has evoked memories of Severe Acute Respiratory

Syndrome (SARS) in 2002-2003, another coronavirus which broke

out in China and killed nearly 800 people in a global pandemic.

Sterling, the euro, and the dollar were subdued as traders

awaited the release of economic data and two central bank

meetings.

The pound GBP=D3 was little changed at $1.3060 on the

dollar, and 84.46 pence per euro EURGBP=D3 .

The Bank of England is closer to cutting interest rates this

week than at any time in the last three years when it announces

its policy decision on Jan. 30.

Growth at end of 2019 slowed to its weakest since 2012,

prompting BOE Governor Mark Carney and two other policymakers to

speak publicly about the possibility of a rate cut.

However, monetary easing is far from certain because other

data have shown a pick up in business and consumer sentiment.

The dollar was quoted at $1.1028 per euro EUR=EBS , little

changed on the day but close to its strongest since December.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to keep policy on hold

at a meeting ending Jan. 29. Data on the U.S. housing market,

durable goods, and consumer confidence will be released before

the Fed's decision.

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