RPT-FOREX-Yen at one-week low as renewed trade hopes lift risk sentiment

Published 25/11/2019, 10:11
© Reuters.  RPT-FOREX-Yen at one-week low as renewed trade hopes lift risk sentiment
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* * Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Sujata Rao

LONDON, Nov 25 (Reuters) - Positive news flow on the

Sino-U.S. trade front lifted market sentiment on Monday, driving

the Japanese yen to a one-week low and fuelling 0.2-0.3% gains

on trade-focused currencies, from the Norwegian crown to the New

Zealand dollar.

The British pound climbed, too, with opinion polls

continuing to point to a firm lead for Prime Minister Boris

Johnson's Conservative Party, whose election manifesto pledged a

quick Brexit, tax cuts and more spending.

Broader markets remained focused on the likelihood of a

trade agreement between the United States and China by year-end,

which U.S. National Security Adviser Robert O'Brien said was

still possible. The Global Times, a tabloid run by the ruling

Chinese Communist Party's official People's Daily, also said a

'phase one' deal was very close.

"Most of the inferences on the weekend (on the trade front)

were positive and markets seem to have decided to run with it,"

said Colin Asher, senior economist at Mizuho.

U.S. advisor O'Brien said Washington would not turn a blind

eye to events in Hong Kong, where there are fears of a Chinese

crackdown on pro-democracy protests. The democrats scored a

landslide majority in district council elections, raising

pressure on the Chinese-ruled city's leaders to listen to their

demands.

The offshore Chinese yuan nevertheless firmed 0.2% against

the dollar CNH=D3 , in line with other Asian currencies as well

as the Australian and Kiwi dollars, while the safe-haven yen

retreated to a one-week low versus the greenback at 108.89 yen

CNH=D3 AUD=D3 NZD=D3 JP=D3 .

The dollar index edged off the one-week high it hit on

Friday against a basket of currencies .DXY .

Speculators raised net long bets on the dollar to a

five-week high in the week to Nov. 19, data from the U.S.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed. But they added to

net short euro positions. The single currency traded just off 10-day lows against the

dollar around $1.101, awaiting Germany's IFO business climate

index at 0900 GMT to see if that would confirm that economic

sentiment is stabilising in the biggest euro zone economy.

Expectations are for the index to have risen to 95 in

November from 94.6 last month.

However, "the IFO will need to be very strong to provide

much of a boost to the euro," ING analysts said, noting that an

uptick in manufacturing activity shown in recent flash PMIs had

been offset by an alarming slowdown in services.

The euro slipped against the Nordic currencies too,

approaching a four-month low versus the Swedish crown at 10.55

crowns EURSEK=D3 and slipping to one-week lows to the

Norwegian currency EURNOK=D3 .

Sterling GBP= rose 0.3% to $1.2868 and by a similar around

against the euro at 85.67 pence EURGBP=D3 .

Markets will focus later in the day on speeches by European

Central Bank's Chief Economist Philip Lane and U.S. Federal

Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.

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