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Data suggests meaningful upside in Skechers USA - Cowen

Published 23/01/2023, 16:55
© Reuters.
SKX
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By Sam Boughedda

Skechers USA (NYSE:SKX) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform by Cowen analysts, who also raised the firm's price target on the stock to $65 from $48.

The analysts said in a note to clients that its survey and channel work suggests a meaningful upside in the stock. Skechers shares have jumped more than 3% in Monday's session.

"Skechers remains the #2 preferred casual sneaker brand in the United States at 19% preference share vs #1 Nike at 24%," the analysts wrote.

He also stated that Skechers.com's Similarweb Unique Visitors — web traffic — grew 38% year-over-year, suggesting significant gains over the holiday.

"We are modeling +6% y/y FY23 domestic wholesale, a deceleration from +26% y/y in FY22. H1:23 domestic DTC estimates could be conservative, given that we're modeling domestic DTC sales up +2.3% y/y in the first half of next year relative to +15% y/y growth in the channel in Q3:22," the analysts added.

"Consensus may be underestimating the durability of momentum, as we're modeling FY23 sales growth of +12% compared to Consensus of +9%. We model upside to Consensus sales and EPS estimates in Q4 and believe management can issue guidance for FY23 that can satisfy growth expectations."

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