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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares set for rough ride on virus fears, China in focus

Published 03/02/2020, 00:40
Updated 03/02/2020, 00:46
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares set for rough ride on virus fears, China in focus
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Australian, NZ shares fall; oil slides, gold firm

* Coronavirus death toll in China rises to 350

* China cbank to inject $174 bln liquidity on Monday

* Economists lower growth forecasts for Chinese economy

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Asian markets are set for another

bumpy ride on Monday on fears about the hit to world growth from

the rapidly spreading coronavirus, with all eyes on China where

trading resumes following the Lunar New Year break.

A total of 350 people have died in China from the new virus

with the first death out of the mainland reported on Sunday in

the Philippines. Looking to head off a panic, China's central bank plans to

inject 1.2 trillion yuan ($173.8 billion) of liquidity into the

markets via reverse repo operations on Monday. Beijing also said it would help firms that produce vital

goods resume work as soon as possible, state broadcaster CCTV

reported. Despite the measures, Australia's benchmark index .AXJO

opened in the red to be down 0.7% while New Zealand shares

.NZ50 faltered 1.8%. Futures for Japan's Nikkei NKc1 were

slightly higher but still about 500 points below where the index

closed on Friday.

"These initial interventions aim to boost confidence, but

they are unlikely to be sufficient to curtail a sharp downturn

in Q1," Citi economists said in a note.

"As most employees won't return to work until Feb. 9, the

output losses are likely to be larger than expected, and

incoming economic activity data will continue to prompt the

authorities to take more actions in order to reduce the adverse

impact of the Wuhan coronavirus on the economy."

For Chris Weston, a Sydney-based strategist at broker

Pepperston, "the big unknown" was how China's financial markets

respond to the show of force from the country's central bank.

"The fact the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC)

has detailed they see the impact of the coronavirus as

'short-lived' is designed to instil confidence," Weston said.

"Whether the market feeds off this optimism is another thing

given the spread of the virus is still in its exponential

stage."

Economists tempered their outlook for the world's

second-largest economy, as travel curbs and supply chains

disruptions are likely to crimp Chinese growth. Citi revised its full-year forecast for China's GDP growth

to 5.5% in 2020 from 5.8%. It also cut first-quarter growth

expectations to 4.8% from 6% in the fourth quarter of 2019.

JPMorgan shaved its forecast for global growth by 0.3

percentage point for this quarter.

Data out of the United States and Europe on Friday too

pointed to economic weakness while a mixed batch of corporate

earnings added to the gloom.

Monday's decline in Asian equities follows a steep sell-off

in global share markets, which, on Friday, posted their biggest

weekly and monthly declines amid growing concerns about the

economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak in China.

MKTS/GLOB

On Friday, the Dow .DJI fell 2.1%, the S&P 500 .SPX

declined 1.8% and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 1.6%.

Indicating a stable start for U.S. shares, E-Mini futures

for the S&P500 ESc1 opened a tad higher on Monday.

The safe-haven Japanese yen JPY= held near a 3-1/2 week

high after adding about 1.5% in the last two weeks. The risk

sensitive Australian dollar AUD=D3 , which is often traded as a

liquid proxy for the Chinese yuan, tumbled 2% last week to hit a

four-month trough.

Gold, which posted its best month in five in January, was

last up 0.1% at $1,591.26 while yields on U.S. debt lingered

near five-month lows as the United States, Japan and other

countries tightened travel curbs to China, where the death toll

from the virus rose to 213.

Oil futures were down on worries about a slowdown in demand

with Brent crude LCOc1 sliding 39 cents to $56.24 a barrel,

the lowest since January 2019.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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(Editing by Sam Holmes)

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