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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain on hopes for progress in trade war and Brexit

Published 21/10/2019, 10:07
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain on hopes for progress in trade war and Brexit
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* MSCI world index up 0.2%

* Euro STOXX 600, Asian shares gain 0.3%

* Investors eye limited U.S.-China trade deal

* See chances of no-deal Brexit receding

* Pound hits 5-1/2 month high after recovering losses

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Wilson

LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - World shares nudged higher on

Monday, as hopes for progress towards resolving the U.S.-China

trade war and a belief that Britain will avoid a disorderly exit

from the European Union gave cause for riskier bets.

MSCI's world equity index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks

shares in 47 countries, gained 0.2%, with the broad Euro STOXX

600 .STOXX adding 0.3%.

The positive mood mirrored gains for Asian stocks. MSCI's

broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.3%, with Chinese shares .CSI300 gaining

0.3%.

Appetite for riskier assets was also supported as markets

judged the chances of a disruptive "no deal" Brexit as lowering,

even after Britain's parliament delayed a vote on Prime Minister

Boris Johnson's deal to exit the EU.

Johnson will seek to put his Brexit deal to a vote on

Monday, with the government proposing a debate on the agreement.

Parliament was due to open at 1330 GMT.

It was unclear, though, whether parliament's speaker would

allow a vote to go ahead.

Earlier in Asia, investors were boosted by Chinese vice

premier Liu He's comments on Friday that Beijing will

collaborate with the United States to address mutual concerns on

the trade war. U.S. President Donald Trump had on Friday also struck an

optimistic tone, saying he thought a trade deal would be signed

before an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting in Chile

next month. "They seem to making progress," said Jeremy Gatto, an

investment manager at Unigestion in Geneva. "But we have seen in

past that everything seems to look great and then a couple of

days later seems to deteriorate again."

The 2020 U.S. presidential election was also influencing the

talks, investors said, with Trump looking to avoid the

possibility of tariffs imposed by China impacting his voting

base.

"Trump realises that some of the tariffs that potentially

could be implemented towards the end of the year could affect

the consumer, which would be bad for the U.S. economy - and

obviously bad for him," Gatto said.

Wall Street futures NQcv1 EScv1 were looking positive,

too, indicating slim gains of around 0.3%.

Markets were also gearing up for high-profile earnings

reports this week from firms including Microsoft MSFT.O and

Amazon AMZN.O .

POUND TOUCHES 5-1/2 MONTH PEAK

By 0845 GMT, the pound GBP=D3 had surged to $1.301,

recovering earlier losses of half a percent against the dollar.

Sterling had by Friday risen by up to 6.5% in seven trading

days to a five-month high, underscoring market expectations that

either a deal or delay was most likely.

Goldman Sachs said it now sees the chance of a no-deal

Brexit reduced to 5%, from 10% previously. Still, some investors said that sterling's medium-term

prospects were limited, even if no deal is avoided.

"I wouldn't be too bullish because there is still going to

be a huge amount of uncertainty going forward, even if the

current deal is agreed," said Tim Drayson, head of economics at

Legal & General Investment Management.

"If this deal does go through, ultimately it is still a

relatively hard Brexit - we are out of the customs union - and

it is still a deterioration in the UK terms of trade."

The dollar against a basket of six major currencies .DXY

was flat.

Bond markets also reacted to Brexit developments, with euro

zone bond yields rising on the receding risk of a British

no-deal exit.

The benchmark 10-year German government bond yield rose 5

basis points to -0.34% DE10YT=RR , while other core euro zone

yields were also higher FR10YT=RR . In commodities, oil prices largely held steady on Monday,

recouping some early losses as investors took stock of global

economic pressures that could impact oil demand.

Global benchmark Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were down

12 cents to $59.35 a barrel by 0815 GMT. O/R

For Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock

markets, click on: LIVE/

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