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FOREX-Dollar resumes descent against safe-haven currencies as virus spreads

Published 11/03/2020, 05:30
Updated 11/03/2020, 05:36
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar resumes descent against safe-haven currencies as virus spreads
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* Dollar down vs yen, Swiss franc and euro

* Market remains nervous of U.S. coronavirus outbreak

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, March 11 (Reuters) - The dollar resumed its descent

against the safe-haven Japanese yen and the Swiss franc on

Wednesday as investors worried over how much governments and

central banks can do to limit the economic damage from the

coronavirus epidemic.

The moves mirrored falls in U.S. equity futures and U.S.

bond yields in Asian trade on Wednesday, as the spread of the

virus in major economies threatens to brake business activity

and curb consumer spending.

The dollar lost 0.8% to 104.67 yen JPY= , down more than a

full yen from Tuesday's high of 105.915.

The dollar had fallen to as low as 101.18 on Monday. While

Japan may already be in recession, its currency normally rises

at times of major financial market stress because of the

country's current account surplus and its net creditor status.

The Swiss franc gained 0.45% to 0.9358 franc per dollar

CHF= while the euro also rose 0.5% to $1.1336 EUR= .

The dollar had jumped on Tuesday as investors hoped global

monetary policymakers will launch further stimulus plans aimed

at bolstering economies hit by trade and travel disruptions.

But a lack of clarity on what Washington will do has kept

many investors on guard.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday he will ask

Congress for a payroll tax cut and other "very major" stimulus

moves, but the details remain unclear. "It is too early to say the market sentiment has turned

positive. Yesterday's rebound in the dollar and in risk assets

is a type of a rebound you often see in a downtrend," said

Shinji Ishimaru, senior currency analyst at MUFG Bank.

"In addition to economic measures, the focus will be on how

much the U.S. can contain the infections to keep the economy

going. That is a very big unknown," he said.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

reported on Tuesday 696 new cases of coronavirus, an increase of

224 from its previous count, and said the number of deaths had

risen by six to 25. Investors are also expecting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut

interest rates by at least 0.5 percentage point at its policy

review next week, in addition to its emergency rate reduction

earlier this month.

It is not clear if such a move could boost investors' risk

tolerance after global equities had tumbled following the Fed's

surprise rate cut just over a week ago, market players said.

But that will surely diminish the dollar's yield advantage

over other major currencies, which has been a main driver of the

dollar's strength in the past few years.

Financial markets are also betting the European Central Bank

will cut its interest rates by 0.10 percentage on Thursday.

Still with interest rates at minus 0.50%, many investors think

the ECB has limited room for additional cuts.

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