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Earnings call: GOL Linhas Aéreas reports Q3 2024 results

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 14/11/2024, 09:50
GOL
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GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. (NYSE: GOL), Brazil's premier low-cost airline, has announced its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2024.

The company reported a net revenue of BRL 5 billion, marking a 6% increase year over year. Passenger revenue reached BRL 4.4 billion, with a significant 57% growth in international capacity.

GOL's Smiles loyalty program and GOLlog cargo division played a crucial role in boosting financial performance, with other revenues up by approximately 20% compared to the previous year. The airline also highlighted its operational achievements, including a record on-time performance rate and the expansion of its flight network.

Key Takeaways

  • Net revenue increased by 6% year over year to BRL 5 billion.
  • Passenger revenue stood at BRL 4.4 billion, driven by a 57% increase in international capacity.
  • Smiles loyalty program and GOLlog cargo division significantly contributed to revenue growth.
  • On-time performance rates of 87.9% globally and 88.1% in Brazil were achieved.
  • Fleet utilization improved, with an average of 11.5 hours per day across 107 aircraft.
  • Smiles loyalty program saw a 9.3% increase in membership, reaching over 1.1 million members.
  • GOLlog revenue grew by 34%, with a 38% increase in transported tons and the addition of a sixth dedicated cargo aircraft.

Company Outlook

  • GOL continues to focus on sustainable growth and operational efficiency.
  • The company is confident in its recovery strategy and ability to adapt in a dynamic market.
  • The airline plans to launch a new route to Bogota from Brasilia in February 2025.

Bearish Highlights

  • Despite revenue growth, GOL faces challenges due to the supply-demand imbalance in the market.
  • Average fares are lagging due to a 13% currency devaluation.
  • Total (EPA:TTEF) CASK increased by 3.7% compared to Q3 2023, affected by the depreciation of the Brazilian real.

Bullish Highlights

  • GOL's capacity recovery strategy is underway, with a 6.7% increase in total capacity year over year.
  • The airline's focus on key high-demand markets and international expansion is yielding positive results.
  • Smiles loyalty program and GOLlog cargo division are driving revenue growth.

Misses

  • RASK was flat compared to the third quarter of 2023, indicating no improvement in unit revenues.
  • The airline incurred BRL 700 million in non-recurring costs related to the Chapter 11 process.

Q&A Highlights

  • The Chapter 11 restructuring support agreement aims to address up to $1.7 billion in debt.
  • GOL plans to raise up to $1.85 billion in new capital through an exit credits facility.
  • The airline anticipates exiting the Chapter 11 process by the end of April 2025.

GOL Linhas Aéreas has demonstrated resilience and strategic growth in the third quarter of 2024. With a solid performance in its passenger, loyalty, and cargo divisions, the airline shows potential for continued success in the competitive aviation market. However, the company must navigate the ongoing challenges of currency devaluation and market dynamics to maintain its upward trajectory.

InvestingPro Insights

GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A.'s financial performance in the third quarter of 2024 reflects a company navigating both opportunities and challenges in the aviation sector. According to InvestingPro data, GOL's P/E ratio stands at 26.94, suggesting investors are willing to pay a premium for the company's earnings, possibly due to its growth prospects and market position.

The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 was $274.13 million, with a gross profit margin of 54.15%. This robust gross margin aligns with GOL's reported success in its passenger revenue and the significant contributions from its Smiles loyalty program and GOLlog cargo division.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that GOL's earnings per share are forecast to grow, which could be attributed to the company's strategic focus on high-demand markets and international expansion. This growth potential is further supported by the impressive 67.26% price total return over the past six months, indicating strong investor confidence in GOL's recovery strategy.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip notes that GOL has a high shareholder yield, which is consistent with the company's reported dividend yield of 3.54%. This could be attractive to income-focused investors, especially considering the 3.18% dividend growth over the last twelve months.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics that could provide deeper insights into GOL's financial health and future prospects. There are 13 more InvestingPro Tips available for GOL, which could be valuable for investors looking to make informed decisions about this dynamic airline stock.

Full transcript - Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (GOL) Q3 2024:

Operator: Welcome to GOL Linhas Aereas Conference Call to discuss the Third Quarter 2024 Results. This event is being broadcast via Zoom (NASDAQ:ZM) and can be accessed on the Company's website in www.voegol.com.br/ir. We informed you that all participants will only be watching the event during the presentation. Before proceeding, I would like to emphasize that the forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of the Company's management and the current information available to the GOL. These statements may involve risks and uncertainties as they relate to future events and therefore depends on circumstances that may or may not occur. Investors, analysts, and journalists should consider that events related to the macroeconomic environment, the segment and other factors could cause results to differ materially from those express in the respective forward-looking statements. Now, I give the floor to Mr. Ferrer. Please, proceed sir.

Celso Ferrer: Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us today for our earnings call. It's a pleasure to be here to share with you GOL's results for the third quarter of 2024. This morning, we published it on the GOL's Investor Relations website, our earnings release and the supporting materials for this third quarter presentation. We will cover the company's performance during the quarter and discuss key updates regarding the Chapter 11 process. Before we move to the financial analysis, I would like to express my gratitude to our entire team of GOL's who have been working tirelessly to ensure the safety of our operations and provide quality services to our customers. The challenges we faced in recent years only reinforce the impressive work and dedication of our team of GOL's as a key factor in driving our recovery. We are proud to announce that for the fourth consecutive month, we have been recognized as the world's most punctual low-cost airline with an on-time performance rate of 87.9%. We were also the most punctual company in Brazil over the last seven months with an on-time performance rate of 88.1% in the third quarter. This performance reflects our commitment to operational efficiency and customer satisfaction and was a key factor in the 24% increase in our NPS over the past year. In the third quarter, we kick-started GOL's capacity recovery strategy, focused on sustainable growth. For the first time this year, we increased capacity compared to the same period in 2023, reflecting our efforts to recover our assets and reduce fleet idleness. In this quarter, our total capacity in this case reached 11.5 billion, representing a significant increase of 6.7% compared to the same period last year. In the domestic market, we increased our capacity by 18.9% compared to the previous quarter, focusing on the key high-demand markets such as Galeao Airport in Rio de Janeiro. In the international market, GOL continued to strengthen its presence with a 57% increase in ASKs, highlighting destinations such as Buenos Aires and Miami. We resumed flights from Natal, Porto Seguro, and Confins to Buenos Aires. We also resumed direct flights between Rio de Janeiro and Montevideo. As a new development, we launched a new route to Bogota, from Brasilia, and we are excited about launching in February 2025. In addition, for the eighth consecutive year, we reached the top-of-mind award from Folha de Sao Paulo, being recognized the most recalled airline in Brazil. This recognition reaffirms our purpose of being the first choice for our customers and democratizing access to air travels for all Brazilians. With approximately 600 daily flights, we completed 55,000 takeoffs in the quarter with our modern Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 fleet. We operated 107 aircraft during the quarter, with an average utilization of 11.5 hours per day, reinforcing our commitment to using our asset efficiently, reducing the number of grounded aircraft. Smiles celebrates its 30th anniversary this quarter with more than 1.1 million members in the Smiles Club, a 9.3% increase compared to the third quarter 2023. This growth demonstrates the success of the initiatives we have implemented to increase the perceived value for our members, reinforce customer loyalty and satisfaction. Another highlight this quarter was the doubling of miles redeemed for non-airline products. This growth is due to our continuous effort to seek and implement new strategic partners, improving the shopping experience and the creation of innovative products. It's a result of our commitment to offering unique redemption opportunities and benefits that enhance the travel experience in the daily lives of millions of Brazilians. Finally, our cargo division also delivered positive results this quarter. One of the main reasons for this growth was the expansion of operations with Mercado Libre, which resulted in an addition of a new freighter aircraft compared to the third quarter of last year, bringing a total to six aircraft dedicated to this operation. Additionally, we experienced a robust organic growth in the strengthening of GOLlog operations in the cargo compartments of our passenger aircraft. We are very pleased with the results for the third quarter 2024, which reflects our commitment to growing sustainably and our ability to adapt in a dynamic market. GOL's continue to strengthen its operation across all business units, maintaining a focus on customer experience and operational efficiency. I'm confident that with the continuous effort of our team and the strategies we have implemented, we will continue on the path of success. Now, I will turn the floor over to our CFO, Eduardo Gotilla, who will talk about the financial results.

Eduardo Gotilla: Thank you, Celso. Good morning, everyone. Let's begin with the results for the passenger business unit. We increased our capacity by almost 7% year over year, serving 8 million passengers and achieving an average load factor above 83%. As mentioned by Celso, the significant highlight this quarter was a 57% growth in our international capacity. As a result, passenger revenue reached BRL4.4 billion this quarter and BRL11.6 billion for the first nine months of 2024. Smiles and GOLlog were instrumental to our financial performance this year, driving other revenues higher by roughly 20% when compared to 2023. Over the last 12 months, Smiles added 1.5 million new customers to its member base, reaching 23.6 million customers overall. Smiles sales amounted to BRL1.3 billion this quarter, growing by 14% when compared to Q3 2023. On the lower part of the slide, we can see that the number of miles redeemed grew by 23% year over year, while redemption transactions increased by 18%. This high level of engagement from our members reflects Smiles strategy of being the most complete travel platform to its clients. On Slide 6, we can see that GOLlog's revenue grew by 34% in the first nine months of this year, owing to a 38% increase in the transported tons and the addition of the six dedicated cargo aircraft for our Mercado Libre partnership. Moving on to our financial results, in the third quarter of 2024, we reported BRL5 billion in net revenue, 6% higher year over year. RASK, our metric for unit revenues, was flat when compared to the third quarter 2023, despite a 10% increase in the average stage length. The supply demand imbalance in our current market has led to an average fare that still lags the 13% currency devaluation in the period. Regarding our costs, despite the slight decrease in fuel prices, total CASK was 3.7% higher than Q3 2023, reaching BRL0.36. The main reason for this increase was a significant depreciation of the Brazilian real during the period, as a substantial portion of our costs are linked to the U.S. dollar. With our CASK increasing by about 4% and our capacity growing by around 7%, total recurring costs increased by 10.8% during the period, reaching BRL4.2 billion. It's important to mention that this metric for unit costs does not include either the cargo operation nor non-recurring costs. We had BRL700 million in non-recurring costs this quarter, primarily related to the Chapter 11 Process. Moving on to EBITDA, in the first nine months of 2024, our recurring EBITDA and EBITDA margin were basically in line with 2023. This performance reflects operational KPIs such as capacity, unit costs, and unit revenues that were all stable year over year, as discussed in the previous slides. In regards to our cash flow, I would like to highlight a few relevant topics that affected our cash position in the first nine months of 2024. The most relevant number on this slide is the nearly BRL5 billion of capital raised as a DIP [ph] loan during the first semester. This cash was used to fund, first and foremost, our strategy to overhaul engines and rebuild our fleet, as seen in the BRL1.2 billion investments in CapEx. This allowed for the addition of five aircraft to the operational fleet, even while reducing three aircraft in the total fleet, improving the number of aircraft out of operation. This capital also allowed us to decrease the use of receivables factoring to generate liquidity, as seen in the BRL2.5 billion dropped in accounts receivable. Finally, this amount also covered the BRL1.2 billion in non-recurring expenses, again primarily related to the Chapter 11 process. In regards to our capital structure, we ended the third quarter with an adjusted net debt of BRL27.6 billion and a net leverage ratio of 5.5 times. Finally, if we add our cash equivalents of BRL1.9 billion to our accounts receivables balance, we reach a liquidity position of BRL5.3 billion. Well, to conclude, I'd like to thank everyone for their attention during the presentation of our financial results. Now, our CEO, Celso Ferrer, will provide updates on the Chapter 11 process and share his final remarks. Thank you.

Celso Ferrer: Thank you, Gotilla. Last week, we reached a very important milestone in our Chapter 11 process with the restructuring support agreement signed with Abra. All the details are included in our material fact published on November 6. But to highlight the key points, the agreement will address up to $1.7 billion in Chapter 11 debt, either through conversion into equity or cancellation. Furthermore, GOL plans to raise up to $1.85 billion in new capital through an exit credits facility, with up to $330 million of debt in new equity. With this agreement, we have the majority of the key terms of the restructuring plan defined, and we project that our exit from this process will take place by the end of April 2025. Despite the challenges we have faced, this process is positive for GOL's history, addressing all the necessary points to support our sustainable growth in the coming years. During this quarter, we also reached an important milestone in our Fleet Liability Restructuring Plan, where we conclude all the commercial negotiations with our aircraft and engine lessors, with all the agreements approved by the bankruptcy court. A total of 129 aircraft and 58 engine leases have been renegotiated and approved, whose signatures of definitive contracts are in process. Since the end of the third quarter, we have continued to sign contract amendments with the lessors, with changes to the payment flows to ensure the financial health of the company. We are very excited about this next phase for GOL. We anticipate challenges months ahead, but we are confident that we have what it takes to exit the Chapter 11 process successfully. I would like to thank everyone for joining us today and for your attention during our presentation of the third quarter 2024 results. We are confident that the strategies we are implementing will lead to even better performance in the future. Once again, I want to thank our team of EGOL's who have been working incredibly hard to ensure we continue to face the industry's challenges with resilience and innovation. Thank you all for being here today and have a great day.

Operator: Thank you Celso and Gotilla. With Celso remarks, we conclude the results presentation. The GOL Investor Relations and Communication teams are available to address any questions you may have. This concludes today's teleconference of GOL Airlines. Thank you very much for your participation and have a wonderful day.

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