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Alfonso Peccatiello
Macro Investors Must Prepare for Upcoming Disinflation By Alfonso Peccatiello - Jun 06, 2023

The pace of the upcoming disinflationary impulse is likely to surprise many: most of our TMC models and leading indicators confirm our call for US core CPI to be in the 3% area by December, and to...

James Picerno
U.S. Economy Set to Continue Growing in Q2 By James Picerno - Jun 06, 2023

The odds remain low that the US will slip into a recession in the second quarter, based on current GDP nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. Although recession forecasts endure, the numbers...

James Picerno
Most Major Asset Classes Decline in May Except U.S. Stocks By James Picerno - Jun 01, 2023

Most of the major asset classes fell in May. The upside exceptions: U.S. stocks and cash. Otherwise, red ink prevailed last month, based on a set of proxy ETFs representing the world’s primary...

Michael Ashton
Don't Bet Against Inflation Yet By Michael Ashton - Jun 01, 2023

I am not the first person to point out that the stock market, at outlandish multiples, is not behaving consistently with commodities markets that are flashing imminent depression. If we insist on...

James Picerno
How Long Will U.S. Economic Resilience Last? By James Picerno - May 31, 2023

The warning signs continue to mount. Yet the US economy continues to defy expectations in some quarters that a recession is near. Granted, it’s arguably a precarious expansion that’s...

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