Market Overview

There is a lot of important economic data to look forward to at the end of this week, including the release of GDP figures on Thursday and the PCE on Friday, along with the employment cost index and...

Nowcasting the business cycle isn’t getting any easier. Despite a firehose of data and an expanding list of analytical techniques, benchmarks, and related research at researchers’...

What can breakeven inflation rates tell us about oil prices, energy stocks, and market direction? It turns out it’s a lot more than you think.Since 2021, as the impact of an economic shutdown...

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and GOP leaders unveiled a bill that, in theory, temporarily solves the debt-ceiling crisis that’s brewing. In practice, the path ahead is probably no less...

As higher-for-longer gains further traction, yield curves are bear flattening again. Only moderately, though, as risk sentiment holds up with the acute banking crises fading from viewHigher-for-longer...

Bill Ackman is a billionaire and founder of the London-based Pershing Square Capital Management, known for making profitable investments. His portfolio currently focuses on companies that generate...

The US Federal Reserve could soon deliver the last hike of the current cycle. While United States 10-Year yields have seen their peak already, it will need the imminent prospect of rate cuts to...

US yields are rising across the curve but T-bills are at the intersection of a better economic outlook and a debt ceiling. Sterling rates are now offering a pick-up to dollar equivalents. This makes...

Markets are still waiting for the data smoking gun that proves that a recession is coming and that inflation is a problem of the past. Until then, rates should continue to rise toward the top of their...

In this piece, we’re going to run through some of last week’s important data releases.Let’s dive right in.1. New York Fed Global Supply China Pressures Index vs. U.S. CPI YoY%Another...

S&P 500's market breadth is positive, signaling a bullish outlook for the index. Meanwhile, the 60/40 portfolio continues to make a comeback. Despite this, bearish sentiment continues to remain...

Hedge funds are often called fast or smart money because they are one step ahead of herd market thinking.I am blessed with the opportunity to have several of them as clients, and pick up their brains...

Recession odds have climbed considerably since Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress and the latest FOMC meeting. However, the recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse, as...

The Consumer Price Index eased more than expected in March, providing fresh evidence that pricing pressure has peaked and inflation remains on track to decelerate further in the months ahead. The core...