USD/JPY – Testing Key Moving Average Resistance Amid Recovery Momentum

Published 12/08/2025, 09:12
Updated 12/08/2025, 10:02

USD/JPY is currently trading at 148.22, marginally above both the 15-day  and 20-day simple moving averages, which are tightly aligned at 147.94 and 147.92, respectively. This alignment suggests that the pair is at a crucial inflection point, where momentum could accelerate if bulls manage a sustained break above recent highs.

After bottoming out near 140.25 earlier this year, the pair staged a solid recovery, pushing toward the 150.00 psychological barrier before encountering selling pressure. The ongoing consolidation reflects market indecision, with the SMAs now acting as short-term support.

Key Technical Observations:

  • The 15-day and 20-day moving averages have flattened, indicating a pause in bullish momentum but maintaining a supportive structure.
  • A close above 148.50 could signal renewed buying pressure toward the 150.00 resistance zone.
  • Downside risk increases if price slips back below 147.50, potentially triggering a deeper pullback.

Key Levels:

  • Immediate Resistance: 148.50
  • Next (LON:NXT) Resistance: 150.00 (psychological level)
  • Support: 147.50 (SMA zone)
  • Breakdown Support: 146.00

Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish

As long as price holds above the SMA cluster near 147.90, the technical setup favours a push higher toward 150.00. However, a failure to break above 148.50 in the coming sessions could lead to renewed consolidation or a deeper correction.

A bullish breakout here would likely align with continued US Dollar strength in the DXY and could weigh on safe-haven demand for the Japanese Yen.USD/JPY-Daily Chart

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