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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jun 12, 2024 20:00
4
Weeks
1
Days
13
Hours
54
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 12, 2024 20:00
Future Price:
94.680
5.00 - 5.25
3.5%
5.25 - 5.50
96.5%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 8.9% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 96.5% | 96.5% | 91.1% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 31, 2024 20:00
Future Price:
94.685
4.75 - 5.00
0.8%
5.00 - 5.25
24.6%
5.25 - 5.50
74.6%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 24.6% | 24.6% | 27.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 74.6% | 74.6% | 70.4% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 18, 2024 20:00
Future Price:
94.790
4.50 - 4.75
0.4%
4.75 - 5.00
12.7%
5.00 - 5.25
49.6%
5.25 - 5.50
37.3%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 12.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 49.6% | 48.6% | 49.0% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 37.3% | 38.8% | 35.2% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 07, 2024 19:00
Future Price:
94.930
4.25 - 4.50
0.1%
4.50 - 4.75
4.7%
4.75 - 5.00
25.6%
5.00 - 5.25
45.3%
5.25 - 5.50
24.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 25.6% | 25.0% | 28.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 45.3% | 45.2% | 43.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 24.2% | 25.2% | 21.4% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 18, 2024 20:00
Future Price:
95.010
4.25 - 4.50
2.5%
4.50 - 4.75
15.4%
4.75 - 5.00
35.6%
5.00 - 5.25
34.6%
5.25 - 5.50
11.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 15.4% | 14.9% | 17.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 35.6% | 35.3% | 36.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 34.6% | 35.0% | 32.4% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 29, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
95.090
4.00 - 4.25
1.1%
4.25 - 4.50
7.9%
4.50 - 4.75
23.9%
4.75 - 5.00
35.2%
5.00 - 5.25
25.0%
5.25 - 5.50
6.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 23.9% | 23.5% | 25.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 35.2% | 35.1% | 34.4% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 25.0% | 25.5% | 22.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 12, 2025 19:00
Future Price:
95.240
3.75 - 4.00
0.4%
4.00 - 4.25
3.7%
4.25 - 4.50
14.1%
4.50 - 4.75
28.3%
4.75 - 5.00
31.2%
5.00 - 5.25
18.0%
5.25 - 5.50
4.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 14.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 28.3% | 27.8% | 29.2% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 31.2% | 31.6% | 29.6% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 18.0% | 18.7% | 15.8% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 23, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
95.315
3.50 - 3.75
0.2%
3.75 - 4.00
2.1%
4.00 - 4.25
8.8%
4.25 - 4.50
21.1%
4.50 - 4.75
29.7%
4.75 - 5.00
24.7%
5.00 - 5.25
11.2%
5.25 - 5.50
2.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 21.1% | 20.5% | 22.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 29.7% | 29.7% | 29.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 24.7% | 25.3% | 22.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 04, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
95.480
3.50 - 3.75
0.5%
3.75 - 4.00
3.0%
4.00 - 4.25
10.5%
4.25 - 4.50
22.3%
4.50 - 4.75
29.0%
4.75 - 5.00
22.9%
5.00 - 5.25
10.0%
5.25 - 5.50
1.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 22.3% | 21.8% | 23.9% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 29.0% | 29.0% | 28.1% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 22.9% | 23.4% | 20.3% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 16, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
95.530
3.25 - 3.50
0.3%
3.50 - 3.75
2.2%
3.75 - 4.00
8.3%
4.00 - 4.25
18.8%
4.25 - 4.50
27.0%
4.50 - 4.75
24.7%
4.75 - 5.00
13.8%
5.00 - 5.25
4.3%
5.25 - 5.50
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 18.8% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 27.0% | 26.9% | 26.9% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 24.7% | 25.1% | 22.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
Updated: May 14, 2024 05:45 CEST
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar calm at end of week; sterling gains on growth data
By Investing.com - May 10, 2024
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar steadied Friday after losing ground the previous session on weak jobs data, while the pound gained in the wake of stronger-than-expected growth numbers. At 04:10 ET...
Dollar stabilizes after Powell speech; labor market data in focus
By Investing.com - May 02, 2024
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar stabilized Thursday after a sharp overnight drop in the wake of Fed Chair Jerome Powell ruling out any rate hikes, while the Japanese yen was volatile amid intervention...
European stocks mixed; Shell shines as quarterly earnings continue
By Investing.com - May 02, 2024
Investing.com - European stock markets traded in a mixed fashion Wednesday, with traders returning after a midweek break to digest a Federal Reserve meeting as well as a deluge of corporate...
Analysis
Why Market Correction May Not Be Over Just Yet
By Lance Roberts - May 06, 2024
The latest FOMC meeting caused a S&P 500 rally as Jerome Powell turned more “dovish” than expected. While Powell did note that progress on inflation has been lackluster, the...
‘Fed Put’ Back on the Table: What That Means for the Market
By Alfonso Peccatiello - May 06, 2024
Last week was big for macro and markets.Today’s piece is going to cover: The Fed’s dovish announcement: a sizeable tapering of their Quantitative Tightening program; A potential upcoming...
EUR/USD Ripe for a Short Ahead of NFP Data Release: Key Trading Levels to Monitor
By Damian Nowiszewski - May 03, 2024
The Fed held its policy meeting, leaving rates unchanged but slowing down quantitative tightening. Today's focus shifts to US labor data: strong figures could justify the Fed's hawkish stance of...